Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Louis City win with a probability of 39.86%. A win for Seattle Sounders had a probability of 36.2% and a draw had a probability of 23.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Louis City win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.3%) and 2-0 (5.76%). The likeliest Seattle Sounders win was 1-2 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.91%). The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 5.2% likelihood.
Result | ||
St Louis City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
39.86% ( 0.29) | 23.94% ( -0.14) | 36.2% ( -0.15) |
Both teams to score 61.6% ( 0.52) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.34% ( 0.68) | 40.66% ( -0.67) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.95% ( 0.69) | 63.05% ( -0.69) |
St Louis City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.39% ( 0.43) | 20.61% ( -0.43) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.84% ( 0.67) | 53.16% ( -0.67) |
Seattle Sounders Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
77.58% ( 0.23) | 22.42% ( -0.23) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
44.06% ( 0.35) | 55.94% ( -0.34) |
Score Analysis |
St Louis City | Draw | Seattle Sounders |
2-1 @ 8.62% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 7.3% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.76% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 4.54% ( 0.07) 3-2 @ 3.39% ( 0.07) 3-0 @ 3.03% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 1.79% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 1.34% ( 0.05) 4-0 @ 1.2% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.89% Total : 39.86% | 1-1 @ 10.91% ( -0.12) 2-2 @ 6.44% ( 0.06) 0-0 @ 4.62% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 1.69% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.28% Total : 23.94% | 1-2 @ 8.16% ( -0.03) 0-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.17) 0-2 @ 5.17% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 4.07% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 3.21% ( 0.05) 0-3 @ 2.57% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.52% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 1.2% ( 0.03) 0-4 @ 0.96% ( -0) Other @ 2.43% Total : 36.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 17 | 10 | 4 | 3 | 39 | 24 | 15 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 15 | 7 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 22 | 6 | 26 |
5 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
6 | Toronto | 16 | 7 | 2 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 23 |
7 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 16 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 19 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 15 | 4 | 7 | 4 | 19 | 20 | -1 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 23 | 29 | -6 | 18 |
11 | Orlando City | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 16 | 23 | -7 | 17 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 16 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 21 | 33 | -12 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 16 | 2 | 6 | 8 | 15 | 28 | -13 | 12 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 16 | 8 | 6 | 2 | 31 | 18 | 13 | 30 |
2 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 16 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 30 | 23 | 7 | 28 |
3 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 15 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 27 | 19 | 8 | 27 |
4 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 14 | 7 | 4 | 3 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 16 | 6 | 5 | 5 | 20 | 20 | 0 | 23 |
6 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 22 | 18 | 4 | 22 |
7 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 28 | 29 | -1 | 22 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 15 | 6 | 3 | 6 | 16 | 16 | 0 | 21 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 16 | 5 | 4 | 7 | 30 | 30 | 0 | 19 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 16 | 4 | 6 | 6 | 19 | 19 | 0 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 23 | -6 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 23 | 28 | -5 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |