Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.
The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.
Result | ||
Minnesota United | Draw | Los Angeles Galaxy |
57.89% ( -1.17) | 20.89% ( 0.24) | 21.22% ( 0.94) |
Both teams to score 60.88% ( 0.66) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.47% ( 0.18) | 36.54% ( -0.17) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.32% ( 0.2) | 58.68% ( -0.19) |
Minnesota United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.53% ( -0.27) | 12.47% ( 0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.56% ( -0.58) | 38.44% ( 0.58) |
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.55% ( 0.97) | 30.45% ( -0.96) |