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Minnesota United
Major League Soccer
Oct 8, 2023 at 1.30am UK
Allianz Field
LA Galaxy

Minnesota Utd
5 - 2
LA Galaxy

Dotson (33'), Pukki (45', 60', 67', 76')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Boyd (41'), Joveljic (82')
Yoshida (50')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Minnesota United and Los Angeles Galaxy, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Los Angeles 5-1 Minnesota Utd
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Seattle 2-1 LA Galaxy
Thursday, October 5 at 3.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Minnesota United 2-1 Los Angeles Galaxy

Defensive deficiency has been the order of the day for both teams of late, meaning that a high-scoring affair is on the cards here. That said, we just about back Minnesota United to make home advantage count and come away with maximum points in the end.

How to watch

You can watch Minnesota United vs. Los Angeles Galaxy and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Minnesota United win with a probability of 57.89%. A win for Los Angeles Galaxy had a probability of 21.22% and a draw had a probability of 20.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Minnesota United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.23%) and 1-0 (7.91%). The likeliest Los Angeles Galaxy win was 1-2 (5.59%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.4%). The actual scoreline of 5-2 was predicted with a 0.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Minnesota United would win this match.

Result
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
57.89% (-1.173 -1.17) 20.89% (0.242 0.24) 21.22% (0.936 0.94)
Both teams to score 60.88% (0.655 0.66)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
63.47% (0.181 0.18)36.54% (-0.17400000000001 -0.17)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
41.32% (0.196 0.2)58.68% (-0.191 -0.19)
Minnesota United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.53% (-0.27 -0.27)12.47% (0.277 0.28)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.56% (-0.576 -0.58)38.44% (0.581 0.58)
Los Angeles Galaxy Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
69.55% (0.965 0.97)30.45% (-0.961 -0.96)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
33.35% (1.133 1.13)66.66% (-1.126 -1.13)
Score Analysis
    Minnesota United 57.89%
    Los Angeles Galaxy 21.22%
    Draw 20.89%
Minnesota UnitedDrawLos Angeles Galaxy
2-1 @ 9.78% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-0 @ 8.23% (-0.251 -0.25)
1-0 @ 7.91% (-0.154 -0.15)
3-1 @ 6.79% (-0.098 -0.1)
3-0 @ 5.71% (-0.238 -0.24)
3-2 @ 4.04% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 3.53% (-0.089 -0.09)
4-0 @ 2.97% (-0.157 -0.16)
4-2 @ 2.1% (0.0020000000000002 0)
5-1 @ 1.47% (-0.053 -0.05)
5-0 @ 1.24% (-0.079 -0.08)
Other @ 4.12%
Total : 57.89%
1-1 @ 9.4% (0.067 0.07)
2-2 @ 5.82% (0.132 0.13)
0-0 @ 3.8% (-0.033 -0.03)
3-3 @ 1.6% (0.061 0.06)
Other @ 0.28%
Total : 20.89%
1-2 @ 5.59% (0.185 0.19)
0-1 @ 4.52% (0.081 0.08)
0-2 @ 2.69% (0.116 0.12)
2-3 @ 2.31% (0.111 0.11)
1-3 @ 2.22% (0.13 0.13)
0-3 @ 1.06% (0.072 0.07)
Other @ 2.84%
Total : 21.22%

Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 3.30am
LA Galaxy
4-3
Minnesota Utd
Sharp (16', 63', 71'), Fagundez (82')
Boyd (54'), Sharp (67'), Delgado (81'), Edwards (90+1')
Pukki (19'), Hlongwane (41', 45+5')
Tapias (27'), Gregus (28'), Boxall (29'), Briston (54'), Tajouri (88')
Briston (74')
May 19, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 11pm
Gameweek 44
LA Galaxy
3-3
Minnesota Utd
Lletget (45+2'), Hernandez (52', 75')
Araujo (41')
Hunou (24'), Lod (35'), Araujo (62' og.)
Dibassy (2'), Reynoso (73')
Sep 19, 2021 1am
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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