Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Los Angeles FC win with a probability of 58.37%. A draw had a probability of 21.2% and a win for Sporting Kansas City had a probability of 20.44%.
The most likely scoreline for a Los Angeles FC win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.89%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (8.82%) and 1-0 (8.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.74%), while for a Sporting Kansas City win it was 1-2 (5.46%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with a 4.3% likelihood.
Result | ||
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
58.37% ( -0.2) | 21.18% ( 0.07) | 20.44% ( 0.13) |
Both teams to score 58.55% ( -0.04) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
60.98% ( -0.15) | 39.02% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
38.66% ( -0.16) | 61.34% ( 0.16) |
Los Angeles FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.87% ( -0.11) | 13.13% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60.21% ( -0.22) | 39.78% ( 0.22) |
Sporting Kansas City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.39% ( 0.03) | 32.6% ( -0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.86% ( 0.04) | 69.14% ( -0.04) |
Score Analysis |
Los Angeles FC | Draw | Sporting Kansas City |
2-1 @ 9.89% 2-0 @ 8.82% ( -0.01) 1-0 @ 8.69% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 6.69% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 5.97% ( -0.03) 3-2 @ 3.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 3.4% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 3.03% ( -0.03) 4-2 @ 1.9% ( -0.01) 5-1 @ 1.38% ( -0.02) 5-0 @ 1.23% ( -0.02) Other @ 3.62% Total : 58.37% | 1-1 @ 9.74% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.54% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 4.28% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.4% ( -0) Other @ 0.22% Total : 21.18% | 1-2 @ 5.46% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 4.8% ( 0.04) 0-2 @ 2.69% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 2.07% ( 0) 1-3 @ 2.04% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 1% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.38% Total : 20.44% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 16 | 10 | 4 | 2 | 38 | 21 | 17 | 34 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 15 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 23 | 14 | 9 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 15 | 8 | 2 | 5 | 19 | 16 | 3 | 26 |
4 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
5 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 14 | 6 | 5 | 3 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 23 |
6 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 14 | 13 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Toronto | 15 | 7 | 1 | 7 | 24 | 24 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 25 | 21 | 4 | 18 |
9 | DC United | 15 | 4 | 6 | 5 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 18 |
10 | Nashville SCNashville | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 17 | 20 | -3 | 16 |
11 | Orlando City | 14 | 4 | 4 | 6 | 15 | 22 | -7 | 16 |
12 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 17 | 0 | 13 |
13 | CF MontrealMontreal | 14 | 3 | 4 | 7 | 17 | 31 | -14 | 13 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 15 | 2 | 5 | 8 | 14 | 27 | -13 | 11 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 13 | 2 | 1 | 10 | 9 | 26 | -17 | 7 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 15 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 30 | 17 | 13 | 29 |
2 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 13 | 7 | 4 | 2 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 25 |
3 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 15 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 27 | 22 | 5 | 25 |
4 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 14 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 25 | 19 | 6 | 24 |
5 | Austin FCAustin | 15 | 6 | 5 | 4 | 20 | 18 | 2 | 23 |
6 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 15 | 6 | 4 | 5 | 27 | 26 | 1 | 22 |
7 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 14 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 20 | 17 | 3 | 19 |
8 | Houston DynamoHouston | 14 | 5 | 3 | 6 | 13 | 15 | -2 | 18 |
9 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 15 | 4 | 5 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 17 |
10 | Portland TimbersPortland | 15 | 4 | 4 | 7 | 28 | 30 | -2 | 16 |
11 | St Louis City | 14 | 3 | 7 | 4 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 16 |
12 | Dallas | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6 | 16 | 20 | -4 | 13 |
13 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 14 | 2 | 5 | 7 | 22 | 26 | -4 | 11 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 15 | 3 | 2 | 10 | 23 | 34 | -11 | 11 |