Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.
Result | ||
Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
62.28% ( -0.08) | 20.52% ( 0.1) | 17.2% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 54.73% ( -0.4) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
58.82% ( -0.51) | 41.18% ( 0.51) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
36.42% ( -0.52) | 63.58% ( 0.52) |
Columbus Crew Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
87.32% ( -0.18) | 12.68% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
61.14% ( -0.37) | 38.86% ( 0.37) |
Chicago Fire Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.68% ( -0.33) | 37.32% ( 0.33) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.89% ( -0.32) | 74.11% ( 0.33) |
Score Analysis |
Columbus Crew | Draw | Chicago Fire |
2-0 @ 10.09% ( 0.09) 2-1 @ 9.95% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.77% ( 0.16) 3-0 @ 6.95% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.85% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.59% ( -0.02) 4-1 @ 3.54% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.38% ( -0.05) 4-2 @ 1.74% ( -0.04) 5-0 @ 1.48% ( -0.02) 5-1 @ 1.46% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.49% Total : 62.28% | 1-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.07) 2-2 @ 4.9% ( -0.04) 0-0 @ 4.73% ( 0.11) 3-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.15% Total : 20.52% | 1-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 4.66% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 2.3% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 1.56% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.32% Total : 17.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Inter MiamiInter Miami | 18 | 10 | 5 | 3 | 42 | 27 | 15 | 35 |
2 | FC CincinnatiCincinnati | 16 | 10 | 3 | 3 | 23 | 16 | 7 | 33 |
3 | New York City FCNY City | 16 | 9 | 2 | 5 | 24 | 17 | 7 | 29 |
4 | New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls | 17 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 29 | 23 | 6 | 29 |
5 | Charlotte FCCharlotte FC | 17 | 7 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 25 |
6 | Columbus Crew | 14 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 21 | 13 | 8 | 24 |
7 | Toronto | 17 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 26 | 26 | 0 | 24 |
8 | Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia | 16 | 4 | 8 | 4 | 27 | 23 | 4 | 20 |
9 | Nashville SCNashville | 16 | 4 | 7 | 5 | 20 | 22 | -2 | 19 |
10 | DC United | 17 | 4 | 7 | 6 | 25 | 31 | -6 | 19 |
11 | Orlando City | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 16 | 24 | -8 | 17 |
12 | CF MontrealMontreal | 16 | 4 | 5 | 7 | 23 | 35 | -12 | 17 |
13 | Atlanta UnitedAtlanta | 16 | 4 | 4 | 8 | 22 | 21 | 1 | 16 |
14 | Chicago Fire | 17 | 3 | 6 | 8 | 17 | 29 | -12 | 15 |
15 | New England RevolutionNew England | 15 | 4 | 1 | 10 | 12 | 27 | -15 | 13 |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Real Salt LakeSalt Lake | 17 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 36 | 19 | 17 | 33 |
2 | Los Angeles FCLos Angeles | 16 | 9 | 3 | 4 | 28 | 19 | 9 | 30 |
3 | Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd | 16 | 8 | 5 | 3 | 28 | 21 | 7 | 29 |
4 | Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy | 17 | 7 | 7 | 3 | 31 | 25 | 6 | 28 |
5 | Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver | 16 | 7 | 4 | 5 | 24 | 19 | 5 | 25 |
6 | Austin FCAustin | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6 | 21 | 25 | -4 | 23 |
7 | Houston DynamoHouston | 16 | 6 | 4 | 6 | 18 | 18 | 0 | 22 |
8 | Colorado RapidsColorado | 17 | 6 | 4 | 7 | 29 | 31 | -2 | 22 |
9 | Portland TimbersPortland | 18 | 5 | 6 | 7 | 32 | 32 | 0 | 21 |
10 | Seattle SoundersSeattle | 17 | 4 | 6 | 7 | 20 | 21 | -1 | 18 |
11 | St Louis City | 16 | 3 | 9 | 4 | 23 | 25 | -2 | 18 |
12 | Sporting Kansas CityKansas | 17 | 3 | 5 | 9 | 26 | 32 | -6 | 14 |
13 | Dallas | 16 | 3 | 5 | 8 | 18 | 25 | -7 | 14 |
14 | San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes | 16 | 3 | 2 | 11 | 24 | 39 | -15 | 11 |