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Columbus Crew
Major League Soccer
Mar 10, 2024 at 12.30am UK
MAPFRE Stadium
Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
2 - 1
Chicago Fire

Russell-Rowe (68'), Farsi (90+10')
Amundsen (90+1')
FT(HT: 0-0)
Herbers (72')
Arigoni (13'), Barlow (90+4')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Major League Soccer clash between Columbus Crew and Chicago Fire, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Houston 0-1 Columbus Crew
Thursday, March 7 at 1am in CONCACAF Champions League
Last Game: Chicago Fire 1-2 Cincinnati
Sunday, March 3 at 1.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Columbus Crew 2-1 Chicago Fire

Chicago Fire have failed to beat Columbus Crew in all of their last five meetings, while they have been unable to win at the hosts' home stadium since 2018. With Columbus winning four of the last five, scoring at least two in all of these victories, we believe they will go on to win this one 2-1. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Columbus Crew win with a probability of 62.28%. A draw had a probability of 20.5% and a win for Chicago Fire had a probability of 17.2%.

The most likely scoreline for a Columbus Crew win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.09%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.95%) and 1-0 (9.77%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.63%), while for a Chicago Fire win it was 1-2 (4.75%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.9% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-1 win for Columbus Crew in this match and our data analysis correctly predicted the win for Columbus Crew.

Result
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
62.28% (-0.080999999999996 -0.08) 20.52% (0.102 0.1) 17.2% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)
Both teams to score 54.73% (-0.402 -0.4)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
58.82% (-0.505 -0.51)41.18% (0.508 0.51)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
36.42% (-0.517 -0.52)63.58% (0.518 0.52)
Columbus Crew Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
87.32% (-0.178 -0.18)12.68% (0.181 0.18)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
61.14% (-0.37 -0.37)38.86% (0.373 0.37)
Chicago Fire Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
62.68% (-0.329 -0.33)37.32% (0.33300000000001 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
25.89% (-0.325 -0.32)74.11% (0.328 0.33)
Score Analysis
    Columbus Crew 62.28%
    Chicago Fire 17.2%
    Draw 20.52%
Columbus CrewDrawChicago Fire
2-0 @ 10.09% (0.093 0.09)
2-1 @ 9.95% (0.0039999999999996 0)
1-0 @ 9.77% (0.158 0.16)
3-0 @ 6.95% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
3-1 @ 6.85% (-0.044 -0.04)
4-0 @ 3.59% (-0.015 -0.02)
4-1 @ 3.54% (-0.048 -0.05)
3-2 @ 3.38% (-0.052 -0.05)
4-2 @ 1.74% (-0.039 -0.04)
5-0 @ 1.48% (-0.017 -0.02)
5-1 @ 1.46% (-0.03 -0.03)
Other @ 3.49%
Total : 62.28%
1-1 @ 9.63% (0.07 0.07)
2-2 @ 4.9% (-0.043 -0.04)
0-0 @ 4.73% (0.109 0.11)
3-3 @ 1.11% (-0.027 -0.03)
Other @ 0.15%
Total : 20.52%
1-2 @ 4.75% (-0.0079999999999991 -0.01)
0-1 @ 4.66% (0.065 0.06)
0-2 @ 2.3% (0.012 0.01)
2-3 @ 1.61% (-0.029 -0.03)
1-3 @ 1.56% (-0.017 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 17.2%

How you voted: Columbus Crew vs Chicago Fire

Columbus Crew
100%
Draw
0.0%
Chicago Fire
0.0%
6
Head to Head
Sep 21, 2023 12.30am
Columbus Crew
3-0
Chicago Fire
Camilo Hernandez (8' pen., 16' pen., 23')

Brady (8'), Souquet (13'), Czichos (33'), Shaqiri (44'), Koutsias (72'), Przybylko (74')
Shaqiri (66')
Jun 11, 2023 1.30am
Chicago Fire
1-2
Columbus Crew
Shaqiri (88')
Navarro (45+5'), Herbers (89')
Camilo Hernandez (59'), Zelarayan (90+3')
Amundsen (20'), Zawadzki (29'), Farsi (81'), Zelarayan (90+5')
Sep 3, 2022 10.30pm
Columbus Crew
0-0
Chicago Fire
Diaz Espinoza (74')
Herbers (85'), Espinoza (90+7')
Jul 10, 2022 1am
Nov 7, 2021 8.30pm
Gameweek 43
Columbus Crew
2-0
Chicago Fire
Zelarayan (31'), Berry (58')

Navarro (59'), Offor (62'), Espinoza (88'), Ivanov (89')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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