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Atlanta United
Major League Soccer
Sep 24, 2023 at 12.30am UK
Mercedes-Benz Stadium
Montreal Impact

Atlanta
4 - 1
Montreal

Silva (30'), Almada (33'), Giakoumakis (46'), Mosquera (89')
Robinson (65'), Mosquera (90+1')
FT(HT: 2-1)
Hamdy (40')
Waterman (67'), Choiniere (79')
Waterman (87')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Atlanta United and CF Montreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: DC United 1-1 Atlanta
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer
Last Game: Montreal 1-1 Cincinnati
Thursday, September 21 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Atlanta United 2-1 CF Montreal

Atlanta United and Montreal dropped points in their last outings and will head into the weekend in search of a morale-boosting result. The Five Stripes' home record in this fixture makes them firm favourites to come out on top and are tipping them to edge out Losada's side once again.

How to watch

You can watch Atlanta United vs. CF Montreal and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Atlanta United win with a probability of 55.86%. A draw had a probability of 22.3% and a win for CF Montreal had a probability of 21.85%.

The most likely scoreline for an Atlanta United win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.88%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (9.42%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.41%), while for a CF Montreal win it was 1-2 (5.75%). The actual scoreline of 4-1 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Atlanta United would win this match.

Result
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
55.86% (0.723 0.72) 22.29% (-0.331 -0.33) 21.85% (-0.39 -0.39)
Both teams to score 56.85% (0.57899999999999 0.58)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
57.74% (1.021 1.02)42.26% (-1.02 -1.02)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
35.33% (1.015 1.02)64.67% (-1.014 -1.01)
Atlanta United Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
85.01% (0.595 0.59)14.99% (-0.592 -0.59)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
56.55% (1.117 1.12)43.45% (-1.115 -1.12)
CF Montreal Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.88% (0.217 0.22)33.12% (-0.213 -0.21)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.28% (0.238 0.24)69.72% (-0.23399999999999 -0.23)
Score Analysis
    Atlanta United 55.86%
    CF Montreal 21.85%
    Draw 22.29%
Atlanta UnitedDrawCF Montreal
2-1 @ 9.88% (0.019 0.02)
1-0 @ 9.42% (-0.234 -0.23)
2-0 @ 8.94% (-0.035 -0.04)
3-1 @ 6.25% (0.14 0.14)
3-0 @ 5.66% (0.094 0.09)
3-2 @ 3.45% (0.096 0.1)
4-1 @ 2.97% (0.126 0.13)
4-0 @ 2.68% (0.099 0.1)
4-2 @ 1.64% (0.079 0.08)
5-1 @ 1.13% (0.07 0.07)
5-0 @ 1.02% (0.057 0.06)
Other @ 2.83%
Total : 55.86%
1-1 @ 10.41% (-0.2 -0.2)
2-2 @ 5.46% (0.042 0.04)
0-0 @ 4.97% (-0.23 -0.23)
3-3 @ 1.27% (0.043 0.04)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 22.29%
1-2 @ 5.75% (-0.075 -0.08)
0-1 @ 5.49% (-0.221 -0.22)
0-2 @ 3.03% (-0.103 -0.1)
1-3 @ 2.12% (-0.015 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.01% (0.027 0.03)
0-3 @ 1.12% (-0.031 -0.03)
Other @ 2.33%
Total : 21.85%

How you voted: Atlanta vs Montreal

Atlanta United
62.5%
Draw
25.0%
CF Montreal
12.5%
16
Head to Head
Jul 9, 2023 12.30am
Montreal
0-1
Atlanta

Camacho (53'), Kwizera (84'), Campbell (87')
Lennon (54')
Almada (78'), Guzan (90+10')
Apr 30, 2022 9pm
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Miller (4'), Torres (81')
Camacho (10'), Wanyama (31'), Kone (58')
Moreno (51')
Moreno (51'), Franco (54'), Ibarra (76')
Mar 19, 2022 8pm
Atlanta
3-3
Montreal
Martinez (6'), Almada (85'), Lennon (90+2')
Gutman (4'), Sosa (90+4')
Dwyer (67')
Mihailovic (28'), Kone (37'), Quioto (42' pen.)
Kone (10'), Miller (31'), Quioto (31'), Lappalainen (72'), Miljevic (82'), Camacho (90+1'), Johnston (90+6')
Oct 3, 2021 12am
Gameweek 37
Montreal
2-1
Atlanta
Quioto (50', 55' pen.)
Mulraney (48')
Aug 5, 2021 12.30am
Gameweek 23
Montreal
2-2
Atlanta
Toye (53'), Camacho (63')
Martinez (65'), Moreno (76' pen.)
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511


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