Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 23

Feb 12, 2023 at 2pm UK

Stade de la Mosson

Montpellier
3 - 0
Brest

Herelle (4' og.), Savanier (17' pen.), Wahi (54')
Leroy (45+4')

FT(HT: 2-0)

Lemarechal (74'), Lala (80')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Ligue 1 clash between Montpellier HSC and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Montpellier HSC

All competitions

Last Game: Strasbourg 2-0 Montpellier
Sunday, February 5 at 2pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

Brest

All competitions

Ligue 1

Last Game: Brest 1-1 Lens
Sunday, February 5 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Montpellier HSC 0-1 Brest

Although Brest have drawn four of their last five games, they will be confident of dispatching Montpellier, having crushed Angers 4-0 at the end of January. By contrast, Montpellier have lost six of their previous seven matches across all competitions, so the hosts look set to suffer another defeat at the hands of the resurgent Pirates. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brest win with a probability of 43.55%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 29.54% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brest win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.77%) and 0-2 (8.09%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (9.26%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.74%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood.

Result
Montpellier HSC	Draw	Brest
29.54% ( -0.64)	26.9% ( 0.08)	43.55% ( 0.57)

Both teams to score 49.46% (

-0.54)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

44.59% (

-0.55)

55.4% (

0.55)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

23.4% (

-0.45)

76.6% (

0.45)

Montpellier HSC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

66.16% (

-0.76)

33.83% (

0.76)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

29.5% (

-0.83)

70.5% (

0.84)

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.76% (

0.04)

25.24% (

-0.04)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.01% (

0.05)

59.99% (

-0.05)

Score Analysis

Montpellier HSC 29.54%

Brest 43.55%

Draw 26.9%

Montpellier HSC	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 9.26% ( 0) 2-1 @ 6.9% ( -0.13) 2-0 @ 5.02% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 2.49% ( -0.1) 3-0 @ 1.81% ( -0.08) 3-2 @ 1.72% ( -0.07) Other @ 2.35% Total : 29.54%	1-1 @ 12.74% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 8.54% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.75% ( -0.09) Other @ 0.87% Total : 26.9%	0-1 @ 11.75% ( 0.26) 1-2 @ 8.77% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 8.09% ( 0.19) 1-3 @ 4.03% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.71% ( 0.09) 2-3 @ 2.18% ( -0.04) 1-4 @ 1.39% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.28% ( 0.03) Other @ 2.35% Total : 43.55%