Ligue 1

Ligue 1 | Gameweek 29

Mar 13, 2021 at 4pm UK

Stade Velodrome

Marseille
3 - 1
Brest

Milik (45+1'), Thauvin (88'), Cuisance (90+3')
Caleta-Car (21'), Gonzalez (23'), Thauvin (38')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Brassier (71')
Mounie (55')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Ligue 1 clash between Marseille and Brest, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Marseille win with a probability of 52.02%. A draw had a probability of 25.1% and a win for Brest had a probability of 22.89%.

The most likely scoreline for a Marseille win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.32%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.82%) and 2-1 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.9%), while for a Brest win it was 0-1 (7.47%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 5% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Marseille would win this match.

Result
Marseille	Draw	Brest
52.02%	25.08%	22.89%

Both teams to score 49.34%

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

47.13%

52.87%

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

25.51%

74.48%

Marseille Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.68%

20.32%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.3%

52.7%

Brest Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

61.92%

38.08%

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

25.16%

74.84%

Score Analysis

Marseille 52.01%

Brest 22.89%

Draw 25.08%

Marseille	Draw	Brest
1-0 @ 12.32% 2-0 @ 9.82% 2-1 @ 9.49% 3-0 @ 5.22% 3-1 @ 5.04% 3-2 @ 2.43% 4-0 @ 2.08% 4-1 @ 2.01% 4-2 @ 0.97% Other @ 2.64% Total : 52.01%	1-1 @ 11.9% 0-0 @ 7.74% 2-2 @ 4.58% Other @ 0.86% Total : 25.08%	0-1 @ 7.47% 1-2 @ 5.75% 0-2 @ 3.61% 1-3 @ 1.85% 2-3 @ 1.47% 0-3 @ 1.16% Other @ 1.58% Total : 22.89%