Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Roma win with a probability of 64.81%. A draw had a probability of 19.6% and a win for Sassuolo had a probability of 15.57%.
The most likely scoreline for a Roma win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.41%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.89%) and 1-0 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.2%), while for a Sassuolo win it was 1-2 (4.37%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 9.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Roma would win this match.
Result | ||
Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
64.81% ( 0.17) | 19.62% ( 0.05) | 15.57% ( -0.23) |
Both teams to score 54.18% ( -0.73) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
59.88% ( -0.69) | 40.12% ( 0.69) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
37.51% ( -0.72) | 62.49% ( 0.72) |
Roma Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.35% ( -0.16) | 11.65% ( 0.16) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
63.3% ( -0.34) | 36.7% ( 0.34) |
Sassuolo Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
61.32% ( -0.72) | 38.68% ( 0.72) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.58% ( -0.68) | 75.41% ( 0.69) |
Score Analysis |
Roma | Draw | Sassuolo |
2-0 @ 10.41% ( 0.21) 2-1 @ 9.89% ( 0) 1-0 @ 9.69% ( 0.25) 3-0 @ 7.46% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 7.09% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 4.01% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.81% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 3.37% ( -0.09) 4-2 @ 1.81% ( -0.06) 5-0 @ 1.72% ( 0) 5-1 @ 1.64% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.91% Total : 64.81% | 1-1 @ 9.2% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 4.7% ( -0.09) 0-0 @ 4.51% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.07% ( -0.05) Other @ 0.15% Total : 19.62% | 1-2 @ 4.37% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.28% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 2.03% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 1.49% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 1.38% ( -0.05) Other @ 2.01% Total : 15.57% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
> Serie A Full Table |