La Liga

La Liga | Gameweek 20

Jan 13, 2024 at 1pm UK

Estadio de Gran Canaria

Las Palmas
3 - 0
Villarreal

Rodriguez (8', 63'), Herzog (51')
Suarez (15'), Munoz (16'), Herzog (34'), Cardona (43')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Altimira (1'), Baena (19'), Bailly (39')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's La Liga clash between Las Palmas and Villarreal, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Las Palmas

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Tenerife 2-0 Las Palmas
Sunday, January 7 at 9pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

Villarreal

All competitions

La Liga

Last Game: Unionistas 1-1 Villarreal
Monday, January 8 at 3.30pm in Copa del Rey

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Las Palmas 1-1 Villarreal

Las Palmas have only lost two of their nine home league matches this season, conceding just seven times in the process. If Villarreal were in full flow, we would fancy the visitors to win here, but it is tough to back them at the moment, and we are not expecting Las Palmas to lose in front of their own fans. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 39.87%. A win for Las Palmas had a probability of 35.25% and a draw had a probability of 24.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.43%) and 0-2 (6.26%). The likeliest Las Palmas win was 2-1 (8.07%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.66%). The actual scoreline of 3-0 was predicted with a 2.5% likelihood.

Result
Las Palmas	Draw	Villarreal
35.25% ( 0.51)	24.89% ( 0.11)	39.87% ( -0.62)

Both teams to score 57.98% (

-0.3)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.71% (

-0.43)

45.29% (

0.42)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.37% (

-0.41)

67.63% (

0.4)

Las Palmas Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.93% (

0.09)

25.07% (

-0.1)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

0.13)

59.75% (

-0.13)

Villarreal Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.38% (

-0.5)

22.62% (

0.49)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.76% (

-0.74)

56.23% (

0.73)

Score Analysis

Las Palmas 35.25%

Villarreal 39.87%

Draw 24.89%

Las Palmas	Draw	Villarreal
2-1 @ 8.07% ( 0.07) 1-0 @ 7.84% ( 0.16) 2-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.13) 3-1 @ 3.72% ( 0.04) 3-2 @ 2.77% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 2.5% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 1.29% ( 0.02) 4-2 @ 0.96% Other @ 2.68% Total : 35.25%	1-1 @ 11.66% ( 0.08) 2-2 @ 6% ( -0.03) 0-0 @ 5.67% ( 0.1) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.89%	1-2 @ 8.67% ( -0.07) 0-1 @ 8.43% ( 0.03) 0-2 @ 6.26% ( -0.07) 1-3 @ 4.29% ( -0.1) 0-3 @ 3.1% ( -0.08) 2-3 @ 2.97% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 1.6% ( -0.06) 0-4 @ 1.15% ( -0.05) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.28% Total : 39.87%