League Two | 2nd Leg
May 20, 2023 at 12.30pm UK
Edgeley Park
Stockport win 3-1 on penalties
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stockport County win with a probability of 48.38%. A win for Salford City had a probability of 25.9% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stockport County win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.75%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.29%) and 2-0 (8.94%). The likeliest Salford City win was 0-1 (8.03%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Stockport County would win this match.
Result |
Stockport County | Draw | Salford City |
48.38% ( -0.02) | 25.71% ( 0.01) | 25.9% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 50.5% ( -0.01) |