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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Portsmouth win with a probability of 43.67%. A win for Northampton Town had a probability of 29.59% and a draw had a probability of 26.7%.
The most likely scoreline for a Portsmouth win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.59%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.82%) and 0-2 (8.06%). The likeliest Northampton Town win was 1-0 (9.13%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.68%). The actual scoreline of 0-3 was predicted with a 3.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Portsmouth would win this match.
Result | ||
Northampton Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
29.59% ( 0.07) | 26.74% ( 0.09) | 43.67% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 49.95% ( -0.22) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.21% ( -0.3) | 54.79% ( 0.3) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
23.9% ( -0.25) | 76.1% ( 0.25) |
Northampton Town Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
66.52% ( -0.1) | 33.48% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
29.88% ( -0.11) | 70.12% ( 0.11) |
Portsmouth Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.09% ( -0.21) | 24.91% ( 0.21) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
40.46% ( -0.3) | 59.53% ( 0.3) |
Score Analysis |
Northampton Town | Draw | Portsmouth |
1-0 @ 9.13% ( 0.08) 2-1 @ 6.94% ( -0) 2-0 @ 4.99% ( 0.03) 3-1 @ 2.53% ( -0.01) 3-0 @ 1.82% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.42% Total : 29.59% | 1-1 @ 12.68% ( 0.04) 0-0 @ 8.34% ( 0.1) 2-2 @ 4.82% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.9% Total : 26.74% | 0-1 @ 11.59% ( 0.07) 1-2 @ 8.82% ( -0.03) 0-2 @ 8.06% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 4.08% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 2.23% ( -0.03) 1-4 @ 1.42% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.3% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.44% Total : 43.67% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
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