Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a St Patrick's Athletic win with a probability of 52.8%. A draw had a probability of 26.2% and a win for University College Dublin had a probability of 21%.
The most likely scoreline for a St Patrick's Athletic win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.5%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.86%) and 1-2 (9.09%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.13%), while for a University College Dublin win it was 1-0 (8.11%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with a 9.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that St Patrick's Athletic would win this match.
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