Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
4 | Athletic Bilbao | 3 | 5 | 7 |
5 | Villarreal | 3 | 5 | 7 |
6 | Atletico Madrid | 4 | 2 | 7 |
Current League Standings | P | GD | PTS | |
15 | Espanyol | 3 | -4 | 1 |
16 | Elche | 3 | -4 | 1 |
17 | Sevilla | 4 | -5 | 1 |
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Villarreal win with a probability of 73.07%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Elche had a probability of 9.59%.
The most likely scoreline for a Villarreal win was 2-0 with a probability of 13.74%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (12.33%) and 3-0 (10.21%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.21%), while for a Elche win it was 0-1 (3.68%). The actual scoreline of 4-0 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Villarreal would win this match.
Result | ||
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
73.07% ( 0.6) | 17.34% ( -0.26) | 9.59% ( -0.34) |
Both teams to score 43.36% ( -0.43) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.27% ( 0.16) | 44.73% ( -0.16) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
32.9% ( 0.15) | 67.1% ( -0.15) |
Villarreal Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
89.23% ( 0.2) | 10.77% ( -0.2) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
65.24% ( 0.44) | 34.76% ( -0.45) |
Elche Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
48.59% ( -0.59) | 51.41% ( 0.59) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
14.38% ( -0.4) | 85.62% ( 0.4) |
Score Analysis |
Villarreal | Draw | Elche |
2-0 @ 13.74% ( 0.13) 1-0 @ 12.33% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 10.21% ( 0.18) 2-1 @ 9.15% ( -0.07) 3-1 @ 6.8% ( 0) 4-0 @ 5.69% ( 0.15) 4-1 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 5-0 @ 2.54% ( 0.09) 3-2 @ 2.26% ( -0.04) 5-1 @ 1.69% ( 0.03) 4-2 @ 1.26% ( -0.01) 6-0 @ 0.94% ( 0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 73.06% | 1-1 @ 8.21% ( -0.13) 0-0 @ 5.54% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 3.04% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.55% Total : 17.34% | 0-1 @ 3.68% ( -0.09) 1-2 @ 2.73% ( -0.09) 0-2 @ 1.23% ( -0.05) Other @ 1.95% Total : 9.59% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
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