Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sevilla win with a probability of 42.45%. A win for Real Sociedad had a probability of 31.49% and a draw had a probability of 26%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sevilla win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.38%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.85%) and 0-2 (7.42%). The likeliest Real Sociedad win was 1-0 (8.67%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.38%). The actual scoreline of 1-2 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Sevilla would win this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
31.49% | 26.05% | 42.45% |
Both teams to score 52.96% |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
48.69% | 51.31% |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
26.86% | 73.13% |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.66% | 30.33% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
33.48% | 66.51% |
Sevilla Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
76.02% | 23.97% |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.78% | 58.21% |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Sevilla |
1-0 @ 8.67% 2-1 @ 7.39% 2-0 @ 5.17% 3-1 @ 2.94% 3-2 @ 2.1% 3-0 @ 2.06% Other @ 3.16% Total : 31.49% | 1-1 @ 12.38% 0-0 @ 7.27% 2-2 @ 5.28% 3-3 @ 1% Other @ 0.11% Total : 26.04% | 0-1 @ 10.38% 1-2 @ 8.85% 0-2 @ 7.42% 1-3 @ 4.21% 0-3 @ 3.53% 2-3 @ 2.51% 1-4 @ 1.5% 0-4 @ 1.26% Other @ 2.78% Total : 42.45% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |