Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Real Sociedad win with a probability of 57.9%. A draw had a probability of 23.9% and a win for Girona had a probability of 18.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Real Sociedad win was 1-0 with a probability of 13.53%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (11.48%) and 2-1 (9.55%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.26%), while for a Girona win it was 0-1 (6.64%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a draw in this match.
Result | ||
Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
57.9% ( -0.06) | 23.9% ( 0.03) | 18.2% ( 0.03) |
Both teams to score 46.12% ( -0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
46.33% ( -0.06) | 53.66% ( 0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.84% ( -0.05) | 75.15% ( 0.05) |
Real Sociedad Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.66% ( -0.04) | 18.34% ( 0.04) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
50.56% ( -0.07) | 49.44% ( 0.07) |
Girona Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
56.47% ( 0) | 43.52% ( -0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
20.27% ( 0) | 79.73% ( -0) |
Score Analysis |
Real Sociedad | Draw | Girona |
1-0 @ 13.53% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 11.48% 2-1 @ 9.55% ( -0) 3-0 @ 6.49% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 5.4% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 2.75% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 2.29% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.25% ( -0) 4-2 @ 0.95% ( -0) 5-0 @ 0.93% ( -0) Other @ 2.26% Total : 57.89% | 1-1 @ 11.26% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 7.98% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 3.97% ( -0) Other @ 0.68% Total : 23.9% | 0-1 @ 6.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 4.68% ( 0) 0-2 @ 2.76% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 1.3% ( 0) 2-3 @ 1.1% Other @ 1.72% Total : 18.2% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |