Match preview

Hibernian manager Jack Ross pictured in October 2020 © Reuters

A late stoppage-time equaliser from Dundee United's Luke Bolton earned the visitors an unlikely point against a dominant Hibernian side last weekend.

Manager Jack Ross was furious with his players for conceding so late in a game that he believed his side fully deserved to win.

That result ended a string of three successive victories but does extend their unbeaten run to eight matches in all competitions.

Hibs are also unbeaten in their last eight meetings with St Mirren, including the 3-0 away victory in September this season.

Ross's men could overtake Celtic and move into second place if the Hoops were to lose at home to Ross County for the second time this season.

St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin pictured on August 9, 2020 © Reuters

St Mirren boss Jim Goodwin has had plenty to smile about in recent weeks as his side's impressive run of form has propelled the Saints off the bottom of the league table and through to the semi-finals of the Scottish League Cup.

Late strikes from Lee Erwin and Jonathan Obika helped St Mirren come from behind against St Johnstone to secure their third league win in four matches and move up to eighth in the table.

The Saints are now unbeaten in their last five Scottish Premiership matches and Goodwin hopes that their positive momentum can continue.

St Mirren have however struggled against Hibernian in recent seasons, losing four of their previous five meetings. The last three points they secured against them was in the Scottish Championship in the 2016-17 campaign.

Another victory in midweek could move the Saints level on points with fifth-placed Motherwell if they were to lose to Aberdeen.

Hibernian Scottish Premiership form: LDDWWD
Hibernian form (all competitions): DWWWWD

St Mirren Scottish Premiership form: LDWDWW
St Mirren form (all competitions): WWDWWW

Team News

Kevin Nisbet pictured for Hibernian in October 2020 © Reuters

Midfielder Scott Allan re-joined first-team training last week, but Hibs refuse to put a timescale on his return to action.

Winger Jamie Murphy will not be available this weekend as he is nursing a hamstring injury.

Drey Wright, who came on as a second-half substitute against Dundee United, could start and replace Kyle Magennis on the left flank.

St Mirren duo Richard Tait and Conor McCarthy are both one booking away from suspension, so manager Jim Goodwin may have to prepare for rotation if they see yellow in the coming weeks.

The Saints currently have no injury concerns and could start with the same lineup that beat St Johnstone last weekend.

Hibernian possible starting lineup:
Marciano; McGinn, Porteous, Hanlon, Stevenson; Boyle, Hallberg, Newell, Wright; Nisbet, Doidge

St Mirren possible starting lineup:
Alnwick; Fraser, McCarthy, Shaughnessy, Tait; Connelly, Erhanon, McGrath, MacPherson, Durmus; Erwin

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We say: Hibernian 2-1 St Mirren

Both teams have strung together impressive runs of form but at least one of these sides is to drop points on Wednesday. Despite Hibernian winning only two of their eight home matches this season, we expect Jack Ross's side to edge out St Mirren in what could be a tight contest at Easter Road.

Top betting tip

Our expert tipster partners at Sporita.com are predicting under 3.5 goals in this match. Click here to find out what else they are predicting for this game and for more of their tried-and-tested football tips.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Hibernian win with a probability of 55.33%. A draw had a probability of 24% and a win for St Mirren had a probability of 20.66%.

The most likely scoreline for a Hibernian win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.18%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (10.35%) and 2-1 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.4%), while for a St Mirren win it was 0-1 (6.72%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 12.2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Hibernian in this match.