Club Friendlies
Aug 13, 2023 at 9.30am UK
Stadio Giuseppe Meazza
AC Milan4 - 2Novara
Coverage of the Club Friendlies 1 Club Friendlies clash between AC Milan and Novara.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: AC Milan 0-1 Trento
Wednesday, August 9 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Wednesday, August 9 at 5pm in Club Friendlies 1
Next Game: Bologna vs. AC Milan
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Monday, August 21 at 7.45pm in Serie A
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a AC Milan win with a probability of 70.32%. A draw had a probability of 17.3% and a win for Novara had a probability of 12.38%.
The most likely scoreline for an AC Milan win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.71%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.59%) and 1-0 (9.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (8.06%), while for a Novara win it was 1-2 (3.61%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 2% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that AC Milan would win this match.
Result | ||
AC Milan | Draw | Novara |
70.32% ( -1.35) | 17.3% ( 0.51) | 12.38% ( 0.84) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( 0.94) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
63.51% ( -0.17) | 36.49% ( 0.18) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
41.37% ( -0.19) | 58.63% ( 0.2) |
AC Milan Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.73% ( -0.35) | 9.27% ( 0.36) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.68% ( -0.85) | 31.32% ( 0.85) |
Novara Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
59.12% ( 1.26) | 40.88% ( -1.26) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
22.55% ( 1.11) | 77.45% ( -1.1) |
Score Analysis |
AC Milan 70.31%
Novara 12.38%
Draw 17.3%
AC Milan | Draw | Novara |
2-0 @ 10.71% ( -0.26) 2-1 @ 9.59% ( 0.1) 1-0 @ 9.01% ( -0.07) 3-0 @ 8.5% ( -0.35) 3-1 @ 7.6% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 5.05% ( -0.29) 4-1 @ 4.52% ( -0.1) 3-2 @ 3.4% ( 0.1) 5-0 @ 2.4% ( -0.18) 5-1 @ 2.15% ( -0.08) 4-2 @ 2.02% ( 0.02) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( -0) 6-0 @ 0.95% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.44% Total : 70.31% | 1-1 @ 8.06% ( 0.21) 2-2 @ 4.29% ( 0.19) 0-0 @ 3.79% ( 0.03) 3-3 @ 1.01% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.15% Total : 17.3% | 1-2 @ 3.61% ( 0.21) 0-1 @ 3.39% ( 0.14) 0-2 @ 1.52% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 1.28% ( 0.1) 1-3 @ 1.08% ( 0.1) Other @ 1.52% Total : 12.38% |
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-05-29 00:40:30
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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