FA Cup | First Round
Nov 4, 2023 at 3pm UK
Rodney Parade
Newport2 - 0Oldham
Coverage of the FA Cup First Round clash between Newport County and Oldham Athletic.
Form, Standings, Stats
Last Game: Newport 0-1 West Ham U21s
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Tuesday, October 31 at 7.30pm in EFL Trophy
Last Game: Oldham 2-2 Altrincham
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Saturday, October 28 at 3pm in National League
Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Newport County win with a probability of 46.07%. A win for Oldham Athletic had a probability of 29.66% and a draw had a probability of 24.3%.
The most likely scoreline for a Newport County win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.3%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (8.93%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Oldham Athletic win was 1-2 (7.21%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.34%). The actual scoreline of 2-0 was predicted with a 7.3% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Newport County would win this match.
Result | ||
Newport County | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
46.07% ( 0.04) | 24.26% ( -0.05) | 29.66% ( 0.01) |
Both teams to score 57.97% ( 0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
55.64% ( 0.23) | 44.35% ( -0.23) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
33.27% ( 0.22) | 66.73% ( -0.22) |
Newport County Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.6% ( 0.11) | 19.39% ( -0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
48.8% ( 0.18) | 51.2% ( -0.18) |
Oldham Athletic Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
71.92% ( 0.12) | 28.08% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.26% ( 0.16) | 63.74% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Newport County 46.07%
Oldham Athletic 29.66%
Draw 24.26%
Newport County | Draw | Oldham Athletic |
2-1 @ 9.3% ( 0) 1-0 @ 8.93% ( -0.06) 2-0 @ 7.33% ( -0.02) 3-1 @ 5.09% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 4.01% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 4-1 @ 2.09% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.64% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.33% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.14% Total : 46.07% | 1-1 @ 11.34% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 5.91% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 5.45% ( -0.05) 3-3 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.26% | 1-2 @ 7.21% ( 0) 0-1 @ 6.92% ( -0.04) 0-2 @ 4.39% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 3.05% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 2.5% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 1.86% ( 0) 1-4 @ 0.97% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.77% Total : 29.66% |
Head to Head
Feb 12, 2022 3pm
Gameweek 32
Newport
3-3
Oldham
Aug 7, 2021 3pm
Gameweek 1
Oldham
0-1
Newport
Dec 19, 2020 3pm
Gameweek 19
Newport
2-4
Oldham
Form Guide
rhs 2.0
LT: 2024-06-10 03:02:52
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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