MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 07:41:13| >> :600:148884:148884:
Blackburn logo
FA Cup | Fourth Round
Jan 28, 2023 at 3pm UK
Ewood Park
Birmingham logo

Blackburn
2 - 2
Birmingham

Dack (33'), Rankin-Costello (46')
Rankin-Costello (22'), Brereton Diaz (86'), Morton (69'), Wharton (80')
FT(HT: 1-1)
Khadra (3')
Chong (40')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's FA Cup clash between Blackburn Rovers and Birmingham City, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Bristol City 1-1 Blackburn
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship
Last Game: Birmingham 1-2 Preston
Saturday, January 21 at 3pm in Championship

We said: Blackburn Rovers 2-0 Birmingham City

While Blues boosted their confidence with a win over Forest Green in the previous round, we cannot ignore their form at the second tier. Although Blackburn have been far from perfect themselves, they should have enough quality in their ranks to record a relatively comfortable win. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Blackburn Rovers win with a probability of 40.58%. A win for Birmingham City had a probability of 32.47% and a draw had a probability of 26.9%.

The most likely scoreline for a Blackburn Rovers win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.02%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.51%) and 2-0 (7.33%). The likeliest Birmingham City win was 0-1 (9.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.78%). The actual scoreline of 2-2 was predicted with a 4.9% likelihood.

Result
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
40.58% (-0.021999999999998 -0.02) 26.94% (-0.015999999999998 -0.02) 32.47% (0.038999999999994 0.04)
Both teams to score 50.51% (0.065000000000005 0.07)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
45.39% (0.079000000000001 0.08)54.62% (-0.079999999999998 -0.08)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
24.05% (0.064999999999998 0.06)75.95% (-0.066000000000003 -0.07)
Blackburn Rovers Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
73.57% (0.024000000000001 0.02)26.44% (-0.025000000000002 -0.03)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
38.39% (0.033000000000001 0.03)61.6% (-0.035000000000004 -0.04)
Birmingham City Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
68.66% (0.066000000000003 0.07)31.34% (-0.067 -0.07)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
32.3% (0.076999999999998 0.08)67.7% (-0.078000000000003 -0.08)
Score Analysis
    Blackburn Rovers 40.58%
    Birmingham City 32.47%
    Draw 26.93%
Blackburn RoversDrawBirmingham City
1-0 @ 11.02% (-0.02 -0.02)
2-1 @ 8.51% (0.0019999999999989 0)
2-0 @ 7.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
3-1 @ 3.77% (0.0030000000000001 0)
3-0 @ 3.25% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
3-2 @ 2.19% (0.0060000000000002 0.01)
4-1 @ 1.26% (0.002 0)
4-0 @ 1.08%
Other @ 2.17%
Total : 40.58%
1-1 @ 12.78% (-0.0099999999999998 -0.01)
0-0 @ 8.28% (-0.024999999999999 -0.02)
2-2 @ 4.94% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
Other @ 0.93%
Total : 26.93%
0-1 @ 9.61% (-0.012 -0.01)
1-2 @ 7.42% (0.0099999999999998 0.01)
0-2 @ 5.58% (0.0030000000000001 0)
1-3 @ 2.87% (0.0089999999999999 0.01)
0-3 @ 2.16% (0.0049999999999999 0)
2-3 @ 1.91% (0.0070000000000001 0.01)
Other @ 2.93%
Total : 32.47%

How you voted: Blackburn vs Birmingham

Blackburn Rovers
71.4%
Draw
10.7%
Birmingham City
17.9%
28
Head to Head
Oct 22, 2022 3pm
May 7, 2022 12.30pm
Dec 18, 2021 3pm
Blackburn
4-0
Birmingham
Buckley (6'), Khadra (52'), Brereton Diaz (60' pen., 79')
Buckley (41')

Sunjic (43')
May 8, 2021 12.30pm
Blackburn
5-2
Birmingham
Armstrong (27' pen., 71', 85'), Brereton (45+1'), Elliott (83')
Pedersen (22'), Jutkiewicz (50')
Leko (26'), Stirk (40'), Pedersen (67')
Jan 2, 2021 3pm
Birmingham
0-2
Blackburn

Sanchez (85')
Armstrong (10'), Dack (90+1')
Travis (39'), Douglas (81'), Armstrong (83')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


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