Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Gil Vicente win with a probability of 39.83%. A win for Riga FC had a probability of 36.13% and a draw had a probability of 24%.

The most likely scoreline for a Gil Vicente win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.62%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.4%) and 0-2 (5.81%). The likeliest Riga FC win was 2-1 (8.16%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.99%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 11% likelihood.

Result
Riga FC	Draw	Gil Vicente
36.13% ( 0.06)	24.03% ( 0.02)	39.83% ( -0.07)

Both teams to score 61.24% (

-0.04)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

58.87% (

-0.06)

41.12% (

0.06)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

36.48% (

-0.06)

63.52% (

0.06)

Riga FC Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

77.33% (

22.66% (

-0)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

43.69% (

56.3% (

-0)

Gil Vicente Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.18% (

-0.06)

20.82% (

0.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

46.51% (

-0.1)

53.49% (

0.09)

Score Analysis

Riga FC 36.13%

Gil Vicente 39.83%

Draw 24.03%

Riga FC	Draw	Gil Vicente
2-1 @ 8.16% ( 0.01) 1-0 @ 7% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 4.04% ( 0) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0) 3-0 @ 2.57% ( 0.01) 4-1 @ 1.5% ( 0) 4-2 @ 1.18% 4-0 @ 0.96% ( 0) Other @ 2.37% Total : 36.13%	1-1 @ 10.99% ( 0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0) 0-0 @ 4.72% ( 0.01) 3-3 @ 1.66% ( -0) Other @ 0.26% Total : 24.03%	1-2 @ 8.62% ( -0.01) 0-1 @ 7.4% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 5.81% ( -0) 1-3 @ 4.51% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 3.35% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 3.04% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.77% ( -0.01) 2-4 @ 1.31% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 1.19% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 39.83%