Coupe de France | Round of 64
Jan 7, 2024 at 1.30pm UK
Stade du Roudourou
We said: Guingamp 1-3 Rennes
With Rennes eager to kick-start their season, their strongest lineup possible should be expected, and that may lead to safe progression into the last 32. Guingamp could trouble them for a time, but we expect a ruthless showing from the visitors.
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Data Analysis Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 50.46% . A draw had a probability of 25.5% and a win for Guingamp had a probability of 24.06% .
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.24% . The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (9.51%) and 1-2 (9.39%) . The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (12.09%) , while for a Guingamp win it was 1-0 (7.79%) . The actual scoreline of 0-2 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood . Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Rennes would win this match.
Result Guingamp Draw Rennes 24.06% ( 0.93) 25.48% ( 0.76) 50.46% ( -1.69)
Both teams to score 49.46% ( -1.23)
46.64% ( -2.13) 53.36% ( 2.13)
25.1% ( -1.83) 74.9% ( 1.83)
62.74% ( -0.32) 37.25% ( 0.32)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 25.96% ( -0.32) 74.04% ( 0.32)
78.83% ( -1.55) 21.17% ( 1.54)
Over 1.5 Under 1.5 45.96% ( -2.46) 54.03% ( 2.46)
Guingamp 24.06%
Rennes 50.45%
Draw 25.48%
Guingamp Draw Rennes 1-0 @ 7.79% ( 0.57) 2-1 @ 5.97% ( 0.11) 2-0 @ 3.84% ( 0.25) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.02) 3-2 @ 1.53% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 1.27% ( 0.07) Other @ 1.71% Total : 24.06% 1-1 @ 12.09% ( 0.34) 0-0 @ 7.89% ( 0.64) 2-2 @ 4.63% ( -0.13) Other @ 0.87% Total : 25.48% 0-1 @ 12.24% ( 0.44) 0-2 @ 9.51% ( -0.1) 1-2 @ 9.39% ( -0.19) 0-3 @ 4.92% ( -0.3) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( -0.34) 2-3 @ 2.4% ( -0.19) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.21) 1-4 @ 1.89% ( -0.23) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( -0.12) Other @ 2.42% Total : 50.45%
How you voted: Guingamp vs Rennes
13
rhs 2.0
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