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Barbados national football team
CONCACAF Nations League | League B
Oct 14, 2023 at 1am UK
Wildey Turf
Dominican Republic national football team

Barbados
0 - 5
Dominican Rep.


Applewhaite (45+1'), Oughterson (86'), Clarke (89'), Clarke (90')
Applewhaite (87')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Romero (7'), Reyes (21'), Griffith (44' og.), Morschel (57'), Alba (88')
Azcona (14'), Melo (31'), Flores (62'), Valdez (81'), A. (83'), Baez (83')
Coverage of the CONCACAF Nations League League B clash between Barbados and Dominican Republic.

Form, Standings, Stats

Barbados

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Nicaragua 5-1 Barbados
Tuesday, September 12 at 3am in CONCACAF Nations League

Dominican Republic

All competitions
CONCACAF Nations League
Last Game: Dominican Rep. 3-0 Montserrat
Tuesday, September 12 at 12am in CONCACAF Nations League

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Dominican Republic win with a probability of 58.35%. A draw had a probability of 23.4% and a win for Barbados had a probability of 18.28%.

The most likely scoreline for a Dominican Republic win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.83%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.22%) and 1-2 (9.69%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.07%), while for a Barbados win it was 1-0 (6.33%). The actual scoreline of 0-5 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Dominican Republic would win this match.

Result
BarbadosDrawDominican Republic
18.28% (-0.306 -0.31) 23.37% (-0.016000000000002 -0.02) 58.35% (0.322 0.32)
Both teams to score 47.76% (-0.48 -0.48)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.46% (-0.363 -0.36)51.54% (0.363 0.36)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.67% (-0.318 -0.32)73.33% (0.318 0.32)
Barbados Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
57.82% (-0.568 -0.57)42.18% (0.568 0.57)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
21.41% (-0.493 -0.49)78.59% (0.494 0.49)
Dominican Republic Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
82.61% (-0.018000000000001 -0.02)17.4% (0.018000000000001 0.02)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
52.18% (-0.028999999999996 -0.03)47.82% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
Score Analysis
    Barbados 18.28%
    Dominican Republic 58.35%
    Draw 23.36%
BarbadosDrawDominican Republic
1-0 @ 6.33% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
2-1 @ 4.78% (-0.083 -0.08)
2-0 @ 2.73% (-0.045 -0.04)
3-1 @ 1.38% (-0.045 -0.05)
3-2 @ 1.2% (-0.041 -0.04)
Other @ 1.85%
Total : 18.28%
1-1 @ 11.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-0 @ 7.34% (0.106 0.11)
2-2 @ 4.18% (-0.075 -0.08)
Other @ 0.77%
Total : 23.36%
0-1 @ 12.83% (0.18 0.18)
0-2 @ 11.22% (0.15 0.15)
1-2 @ 9.69% (-0.021000000000001 -0.02)
0-3 @ 6.54% (0.084000000000001 0.08)
1-3 @ 5.65% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-4 @ 2.86% (0.035 0.04)
1-4 @ 2.47% (-0.0090000000000003 -0.01)
2-3 @ 2.44% (-0.045 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.07% (-0.02 -0.02)
0-5 @ 1% (0.012 0.01)
Other @ 2.59%
Total : 58.35%

Head to Head
Jun 5, 2021 12am
First Round
Dominican Rep.
1-1
Barbados
Rodriguez (90+2')
Modesta (35')
Reid-Stephen (42')
Williams (39')
rhs 2.0
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