Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Shandong Taishan win with a probability of 44.58%. A win for Qingdao Hainiu had a probability of 30.83% and a draw had a probability of 24.6%.

The most likely scoreline for a Shandong Taishan win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (9%) and 0-2 (7.15%). The likeliest Qingdao Hainiu win was 2-1 (7.39%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.53%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with an 9% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Shandong Taishan would win this match.

Result
Qingdao Hainiu	Draw	Shandong Taishan
30.83% ( -0.1)	24.59% ( -0.04)	44.58% ( 0.14)

Both teams to score 57.52% (

0.07)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

54.75% (

0.11)

45.25% (

-0.11)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

32.41% (

0.11)

67.59% (

-0.11)

Qingdao Hainiu Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

72.25% (

-0.01)

27.75% (

0.02)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

36.68% (

-0.02)

63.32% (

0.02)

Shandong Taishan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

79.6% (

0.11)

20.39% (

-0.11)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

47.18% (

0.17)

52.82% (

-0.17)

Score Analysis

Qingdao Hainiu 30.83%

Shandong Taishan 44.58%

Draw 24.58%

Qingdao Hainiu	Draw	Shandong Taishan
2-1 @ 7.39% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 7.25% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 4.65% ( -0.03) 3-1 @ 3.16% ( -0.01) 3-2 @ 2.51% ( 0) 3-0 @ 1.99% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.01% ( -0) Other @ 2.86% Total : 30.83%	1-1 @ 11.53% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 5.88% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 5.66% ( -0.03) 3-3 @ 1.33% ( 0) Other @ 0.19% Total : 24.58%	1-2 @ 9.17% ( 0.01) 0-1 @ 9% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 7.15% ( 0.01) 1-3 @ 4.86% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 3.12% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 1.93% ( 0.02) 0-4 @ 1.51% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 1.24% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.82% Total : 44.58%