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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Borussia Dortmund win with a probability of 58.69%. A win for VfL Bochum had a probability of 22.13% and a draw had a probability of 19.2%.
The most likely scoreline for a Borussia Dortmund win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.98%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (7.13%) and 0-2 (6.3%). The likeliest VfL Bochum win was 2-1 (5.38%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (7.55%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 7.5% likelihood.
Result | ||
VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
22.13% ( -0.07) | 19.18% ( -0.04) | 58.69% ( 0.11) |
Both teams to score 68.93% ( 0.03) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
73.19% ( 0.08) | 26.8% ( -0.09) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
52.76% ( 0.11) | 47.24% ( -0.11) |
VfL Bochum Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
75.96% ( -0.01) | 24.04% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
41.69% ( -0) | 58.3% ( 0) |
Borussia Dortmund Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
90.74% ( 0.05) | 9.26% ( -0.05) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
68.71% ( 0.12) | 31.29% ( -0.12) |
Score Analysis |
VfL Bochum | Draw | Borussia Dortmund |
2-1 @ 5.38% ( -0.02) 1-0 @ 3.17% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 3.04% ( -0) 3-1 @ 2.56% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 2.26% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( -0) 3-0 @ 1.07% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 0.91% ( -0) Other @ 2.65% Total : 22.13% | 1-1 @ 7.55% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 6.4% ( -0.01) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) 0-0 @ 2.23% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.59% Total : 19.18% | 1-2 @ 8.98% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 7.13% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 6.3% ( -0) 0-1 @ 5.3% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 5.08% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 5% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 4.24% ( 0.02) 2-4 @ 3.02% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 2.97% ( 0.01) 1-5 @ 2.02% ( 0.01) 2-5 @ 1.44% ( 0.01) 3-4 @ 1.44% ( 0) 0-5 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 4.37% Total : 58.69% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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