Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 57.86%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 21.99% and a draw had a probability of 20.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.26%) and 3-1 (6.98%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (5.61%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.59%). The actual scoreline of 3-3 was predicted with a 2% likelihood.
Result | ||
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
57.86% ( 0.54) | 20.15% ( -0.17) | 21.99% ( -0.37) |
Both teams to score 64.88% ( 0.1) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
68.15% ( 0.36) | 31.85% ( -0.35) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
46.61% ( 0.42) | 53.39% ( -0.41) |
Western Sydney Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
88.99% ( 0.25) | 11.01% ( -0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
64.71% ( 0.56) | 35.29% ( -0.55) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.9% ( -0.09) | 27.1% ( 0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
37.52% ( -0.12) | 62.48% ( 0.13) |
Score Analysis |
Western Sydney Wanderers | Draw | Newcastle Jets |
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.26% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 6.98% ( 0.06) 1-0 @ 6.58% ( -0.06) 3-0 @ 5.34% ( 0.06) 3-2 @ 4.55% ( 0.03) 4-1 @ 3.85% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.95% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 2.51% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.7% ( 0.05) 5-0 @ 1.3% ( 0.04) 5-2 @ 1.11% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.09% ( 0.01) Other @ 3.16% Total : 57.86% | 1-1 @ 8.59% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 6.19% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 2.98% ( -0.06) 3-3 @ 1.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.4% Total : 20.15% | 1-2 @ 5.61% ( -0.08) 0-1 @ 3.89% ( -0.09) 2-3 @ 2.69% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 2.54% ( -0.06) 1-3 @ 2.44% ( -0.04) 0-3 @ 1.11% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.7% Total : 21.99% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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