Australian A-League | Gameweek 22

Mar 31, 2023 at 9.45am UK

Spotless Stadium

Western Sydney
2 - 3
Adelaide United

Yengi (44'), Marcelo (60')
Traore (57'), Nieuwenhof (90+2')
Marcelo (90+3')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Warland (37', 49'), Ibusuki (55')
Clough (75'), Gauci (76'), Barr (90+4'), Irankunda (90+3')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Friday's Australian A-League clash between Western Sydney Wanderers and Adelaide United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Western Sydney Wanderers

All competitions

Last Game: Sydney FC 0-4 Western Sydney
Saturday, March 18 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Adelaide United 5-1 Wellington
Friday, March 17 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Western Sydney Wanderers 2-3 Adelaide United

Both teams have a lot of attacking quality which should make for an entertaining fixture, but considering their dominant run of form as of late, the visitors should just edge things. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Western Sydney Wanderers win with a probability of 50.17%. A win for Adelaide United had a probability of 27.3% and a draw had a probability of 22.5%.

The most likely scoreline for a Western Sydney Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.48%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (7.59%) and 2-0 (7.11%). The likeliest Adelaide United win was 1-2 (6.74%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.11%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.8% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted a 2-3 win for Adelaide United in this match.

Result
Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Adelaide United
50.17% ( -1.07)	22.53% ( 0.07)	27.3% ( 1.01)

Both teams to score 62.32% (

0.7)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

62.15% (

0.51)

37.85% (

-0.51)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

39.9% (

0.55)

60.1% (

-0.54)

Western Sydney Wanderers Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

84.66% (

-0.18)

15.35% (

0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

55.89% (

-0.34)

44.11% (

0.35)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

73.62% (

0.98)

26.38% (

-0.98)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

38.46% (

1.29)

61.54% (

-1.29)

Score Analysis

Western Sydney Wanderers 50.17%

Adelaide United 27.3%

Draw 22.53%

Western Sydney Wanderers	Draw	Adelaide United
2-1 @ 9.48% ( -0.09) 1-0 @ 7.59% ( -0.24) 2-0 @ 7.11% ( -0.27) 3-1 @ 5.92% ( -0.09) 3-0 @ 4.44% ( -0.2) 3-2 @ 3.94% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 2.77% ( -0.06) 4-0 @ 2.08% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.85% ( 0.01) 5-1 @ 1.04% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.95% Total : 50.17%	1-1 @ 10.11% ( -0.03) 2-2 @ 6.31% ( 0.11) 0-0 @ 4.05% ( -0.1) 3-3 @ 1.75% ( 0.07) Other @ 0.3% Total : 22.53%	1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.16) 0-1 @ 5.4% ( 0.02) 0-2 @ 3.59% ( 0.11) 1-3 @ 2.99% ( 0.15) 2-3 @ 2.8% ( 0.13) 0-3 @ 1.6% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 0.93% ( 0.07) Other @ 2.25% Total : 27.3%