Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Sydney FC win with a probability of 48.33%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 30.23% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.
The most likely scoreline for a Sydney FC win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.84%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-3 (5.95%) and 0-2 (5.63%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 2-1 (6.87%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.75%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 3.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
30.23% ( 0.06) | 21.44% ( 0.06) | 48.33% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 68.71% ( -0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
69.58% ( -0.24) | 30.42% ( 0.24) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
48.3% ( -0.29) | 51.7% ( 0.29) |
Newcastle Jets Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.22% ( -0.09) | 20.78% ( 0.09) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.56% ( -0.14) | 53.43% ( 0.14) |
Sydney FC Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.74% ( -0.12) | 13.26% ( 0.13) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
59.96% ( -0.25) | 40.04% ( 0.25) |
Score Analysis |
Newcastle Jets | Draw | Sydney FC |
2-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.03) 1-0 @ 4.33% ( 0.05) 3-2 @ 3.64% ( -0.01) 3-1 @ 3.6% ( 0) 2-0 @ 3.4% ( 0.03) 3-0 @ 1.78% ( 0.01) 4-2 @ 1.43% ( -0.01) 4-1 @ 1.41% ( -0) 4-3 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 2.81% Total : 30.23% | 1-1 @ 8.75% ( 0.06) 2-2 @ 6.94% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.76% ( 0.04) 3-3 @ 2.45% ( -0.02) Other @ 0.55% Total : 21.44% | 1-2 @ 8.84% ( 0.02) 1-3 @ 5.95% ( -0.02) 0-2 @ 5.63% ( 0.03) 0-1 @ 5.57% ( 0.05) 2-3 @ 4.68% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 3.79% ( -0) 1-4 @ 3.01% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 2.36% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 1.91% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.24% ( -0.02) 1-5 @ 1.22% ( -0.01) 2-5 @ 0.96% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.19% Total : 48.33% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
1 | Central Coast MarinersCentral Coast | 27 | 17 | 4 | 6 | 49 | 27 | 22 | 55 |
2 | Wellington PhoenixWellington | 27 | 15 | 8 | 4 | 42 | 26 | 16 | 53 |
3 | Melbourne VictoryVictory | 27 | 10 | 12 | 5 | 43 | 33 | 10 | 42 |
4 | Sydney FCSydney FC | 27 | 12 | 5 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 41 |
5 | Macarthur | 27 | 11 | 8 | 8 | 45 | 48 | -3 | 41 |
6 | Melbourne CityMelbourne City | 27 | 11 | 6 | 10 | 50 | 38 | 12 | 39 |
7 | Western Sydney WanderersWestern Sydney | 27 | 11 | 4 | 12 | 44 | 48 | -4 | 37 |
8 | Adelaide UnitedAdelaide United | 27 | 9 | 5 | 13 | 52 | 53 | -1 | 32 |
9 | Brisbane RoarBrisbane Roar | 27 | 8 | 6 | 13 | 42 | 55 | -13 | 30 |
10 | Newcastle JetsNewcastle Jets | 27 | 6 | 10 | 11 | 39 | 47 | -8 | 28 |
11 | Western UnitedWestern Utd | 27 | 7 | 5 | 15 | 36 | 55 | -19 | 26 |
12 | Perth GloryPerth Glory | 27 | 5 | 7 | 15 | 46 | 69 | -23 | 22 |
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