Australian A-League | Gameweek 21

Mar 18, 2023 at 6am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
1 - 0
Western Utd

O'Shea (81')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Doumbia (22'), Diamanti (23'), Risdon (35'), Diamanti (67')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Western United, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Melbourne City 2-1 Brisbane Roar
Sunday, March 12 at 4am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Western United

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 1-2 Western Utd
Monday, March 13 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

We said: Brisbane Roar 0-2 Western United

Brisbane Roar have plenty to play for here as they look to avoid finishing bottom this season, but with Western United's recent form the visitors should be able to secure all three points. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Brisbane Roar win with a probability of 38%. A win for Western United had a probability of 36.57% and a draw had a probability of 25.4%.

The most likely scoreline for a Brisbane Roar win was 1-0 with a probability of 8.77%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.42%) and 2-0 (6.15%). The likeliest Western United win was 0-1 (8.57%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.01%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with an 8.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Brisbane Roar in this match.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Western United
38% ( -0.34)	25.42% ( -0.18)	36.57% ( 0.52)

Both teams to score 56.23% (

0.64)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

52.38% (

0.81)

47.62% (

-0.81)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

30.18% (

0.74)

69.82% (

-0.74)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

75.38% (

0.18)

24.62% (

-0.19)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.87% (

0.26)

59.12% (

-0.26)

Western United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.59% (

0.67)

25.41% (

-0.67)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

39.78% (

0.91)

60.22% (

-0.91)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 38.01%

Western United 36.57%

Draw 25.42%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Western United
1-0 @ 8.77% ( -0.25) 2-1 @ 8.42% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 6.15% ( -0.14) 3-1 @ 3.93% ( 0.01) 3-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.7% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 1.38% ( 0.01) 4-0 @ 1.01% ( -0.01) 4-2 @ 0.94% ( 0.02) Other @ 1.85% Total : 38.01%	1-1 @ 12.01% ( -0.11) 0-0 @ 6.25% ( -0.21) 2-2 @ 5.77% ( 0.09) 3-3 @ 1.23% ( 0.05) Other @ 0.16% Total : 25.42%	0-1 @ 8.57% ( -0.12) 1-2 @ 8.23% ( 0.08) 0-2 @ 5.87% ( 0.03) 1-3 @ 3.76% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 2.68% ( 0.06) 2-3 @ 2.63% ( 0.09) 1-4 @ 1.29% ( 0.06) 0-4 @ 0.92% ( 0.04) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0.05) Other @ 1.72% Total : 36.57%