Australian A-League | Gameweek 19

Mar 3, 2024 at 6am UK

Suncorp Stadium

Brisbane Roar
3 - 2
Victory

Rojas (23', 56'), Waddingham (70')
Hore (39'), Burke-Gilroy (62'), Jelacic (90')

FT(HT: 1-1)

Machach (35'), Bonevacia (86')
Geria (15')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Brisbane Roar and Melbourne Victory.

Form, Standings, Stats

Brisbane Roar

All competitions

Last Game: Brisbane Roar 2-2 Western Utd
Friday, February 23 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Melbourne Victory

All competitions

Last Game: Victory 0-1 Central Coast
Sunday, February 25 at 6am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Melbourne Victory win with a probability of 46.28%. A win for Brisbane Roar had a probability of 30.44% and a draw had a probability of 23.3%.

The most likely scoreline for a Melbourne Victory win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.23%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (7.62%) and 0-2 (6.67%). The likeliest Brisbane Roar win was 2-1 (7.29%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (10.53%). The actual scoreline of 3-2 was predicted with a 2.9% likelihood.

Result
Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne Victory
30.44% ( -1.05)	23.28% ( 0.07)	46.28% ( 0.98)

Both teams to score 61.94% (

-0.85)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

60.66% (

-0.87)

39.33% (

0.87)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

38.32% (

-0.92)

61.67% (

0.91)

Brisbane Roar Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

74.92% (

-1.07)

25.07% (

1.07)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

40.24% (

-1.5)

59.76% (

1.5)

Melbourne Victory Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.67% (

0.05)

17.33% (

-0.05)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

52.3% (

0.08)

47.7% (

-0.08)

Score Analysis

Brisbane Roar 30.44%

Melbourne Victory 46.28%

Draw 23.27%

Brisbane Roar	Draw	Melbourne Victory
2-1 @ 7.29% ( -0.14) 1-0 @ 6.01% ( 0.06) 2-0 @ 4.16% ( -0.09) 3-1 @ 3.36% ( -0.17) 3-2 @ 2.95% ( -0.15) 3-0 @ 1.92% ( -0.1) 4-1 @ 1.16% ( -0.1) 4-2 @ 1.02% ( -0.08) Other @ 2.58% Total : 30.44%	1-1 @ 10.53% ( 0.12) 2-2 @ 6.39% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 4.34% ( 0.17) 3-3 @ 1.72% ( -0.08) Other @ 0.29% Total : 23.27%	1-2 @ 9.23% ( 0.12) 0-1 @ 7.62% ( 0.32) 0-2 @ 6.67% ( 0.29) 1-3 @ 5.4% ( 0.08) 0-3 @ 3.9% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 3.73% ( -0.06) 1-4 @ 2.36% ( 0.04) 0-4 @ 1.71% ( 0.08) 2-4 @ 1.64% ( -0.02) Other @ 4.03% Total : 46.28%