Australian A-League | Gameweek 9

Dec 22, 2023 at 8.45am UK

Coopers Stadium

Adelaide United
3 - 1
Newcastle Jets

Ibusuki (14'), Clough (68' pen.), Halloran (70')
Irankunda (76')

FT(HT: 1-0)

Vidic (89')
Ingham (9'), Stamatelopoulos (14')

Data Analysis

Lineups

Live Updates

Coverage of the Australian A-League clash between Adelaide United and Newcastle Jets.

Form, Standings, Stats

Adelaide United

All competitions

Last Game: Western Sydney 1-0 Adelaide United
Friday, December 15 at 8.45am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Top scorers

Newcastle Jets

All competitions

Last Game: Newcastle Jets 2-2 Perth Glory
Saturday, December 16 at 7am in Australian A-League

Goals
for

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Adelaide United win with a probability of 48.89%. A win for Newcastle Jets had a probability of 29.69% and a draw had a probability of 21.4%.

The most likely scoreline for an Adelaide United win was 2-1 with a probability of 8.9%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 3-1 (6.02%) and 2-0 (5.74%). The likeliest Newcastle Jets win was 1-2 (6.81%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (8.77%). The actual scoreline of 3-1 was predicted with a 6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Adelaide United would win this match.

Result
Adelaide United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
48.89% ( 0.43)	21.42% ( -0.07)	29.69% ( -0.36)

Both teams to score 68.44% (

0.03)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

69.36% (

0.13)

30.63% (

-0.13)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

48.04% (

0.16)

51.95% (

-0.15)

Adelaide United Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

86.84% (

0.19)

13.16% (

-0.18)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

60.16% (

0.37)

39.84% (

-0.37)

Newcastle Jets Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

78.8% (

-0.14)

21.19% (

0.14)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

45.93% (

-0.21)

54.07% (

0.22)

Score Analysis

Adelaide United 48.89%

Newcastle Jets 29.69%

Draw 21.42%

Adelaide United	Draw	Newcastle Jets
2-1 @ 8.9% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 6.02% ( 0.05) 2-0 @ 5.74% ( 0.04) 1-0 @ 5.66% ( -0) 3-2 @ 4.67% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 3.88% ( 0.05) 4-1 @ 3.05% ( 0.05) 4-2 @ 2.37% ( 0.03) 4-0 @ 1.97% ( 0.04) 5-1 @ 1.24% ( 0.03) 4-3 @ 1.22% ( 0.01) 5-2 @ 0.96% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.24% Total : 48.89%	1-1 @ 8.77% ( -0.04) 2-2 @ 6.9% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 2.79% ( -0.02) 3-3 @ 2.41% ( 0) Other @ 0.54% Total : 21.42%	1-2 @ 6.81% ( -0.06) 0-1 @ 4.33% ( -0.05) 2-3 @ 3.57% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 3.52% ( -0.05) 0-2 @ 3.36% ( -0.05) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( -0.03) 2-4 @ 1.39% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( -0.02) 3-4 @ 0.94% ( -0) Other @ 2.69% Total : 29.69%