Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a West Ham United win with a probability of 47.18%. A win for Brentford had a probability of 27.86% and a draw had a probability of 25%.
The most likely scoreline for a West Ham United win was 1-0 with a probability of 10.24%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (9.36%) and 2-0 (8.1%). The likeliest Brentford win was 0-1 (7.49%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.83%). The actual scoreline of 4-2 was predicted with a 1.1% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that West Ham United would win this match.
Result | ||
West Ham United | Draw | Brentford |
47.18% ( 0.12) | 24.96% ( 0.13) | 27.86% ( -0.25) |
Both teams to score 54.41% ( -0.63) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
51.52% ( -0.74) | 48.48% ( 0.74) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
29.39% ( -0.68) | 70.61% ( 0.68) |
West Ham United Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
79.41% ( -0.25) | 20.59% ( 0.25) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
46.87% ( -0.4) | 53.13% ( 0.4) |
Brentford Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
68.51% ( -0.58) | 31.48% ( 0.58) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.13% ( -0.67) | 67.87% ( 0.67) |
Score Analysis |
West Ham United | Draw | Brentford |
1-0 @ 10.24% ( 0.23) 2-1 @ 9.36% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 8.1% ( 0.12) 3-1 @ 4.93% ( -0.04) 3-0 @ 4.27% ( 0.03) 3-2 @ 2.85% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 1.95% ( -0.03) 4-0 @ 1.69% 4-2 @ 1.13% ( -0.04) Other @ 2.68% Total : 47.17% | 1-1 @ 11.83% ( 0.08) 0-0 @ 6.48% ( 0.2) 2-2 @ 5.41% ( -0.09) 3-3 @ 1.1% ( -0.04) Other @ 0.13% Total : 24.95% | 0-1 @ 7.49% ( 0.11) 1-2 @ 6.84% ( -0.06) 0-2 @ 4.33% ( -0) 1-3 @ 2.64% ( -0.07) 2-3 @ 2.08% ( -0.07) 0-3 @ 1.67% ( -0.03) Other @ 2.81% Total : 27.86% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Manchester CityMan City | 38 | 28 | 7 | 3 | 96 | 34 | 62 | 91 |
2 | Arsenal | 38 | 28 | 5 | 5 | 91 | 29 | 62 | 89 |
3 | Liverpool | 38 | 24 | 10 | 4 | 86 | 41 | 45 | 82 |
4 | Aston Villa | 38 | 20 | 8 | 10 | 76 | 61 | 15 | 68 |
5 | Tottenham HotspurSpurs | 38 | 20 | 6 | 12 | 74 | 61 | 13 | 66 |
6 | Chelsea | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 77 | 63 | 14 | 63 |
7 | Newcastle UnitedNewcastle | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 85 | 62 | 23 | 60 |
8 | Manchester UnitedMan Utd | 38 | 18 | 6 | 14 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 60 |
9 | West Ham UnitedWest Ham | 38 | 14 | 10 | 14 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 52 |
10 | Crystal Palace | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 57 | 58 | -1 | 49 |
11 | Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton | 38 | 12 | 12 | 14 | 55 | 62 | -7 | 48 |
12 | Bournemouth | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 54 | 67 | -13 | 48 |
13 | Fulham | 38 | 13 | 8 | 17 | 55 | 61 | -6 | 47 |
14 | Wolverhampton WanderersWolves | 38 | 13 | 7 | 18 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 46 |
15 | Everton | 38 | 13 | 9 | 16 | 40 | 51 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Brentford | 38 | 10 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 65 | -9 | 39 |
17 | Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 49 | 67 | -18 | 32 |
R | Luton TownLuton | 38 | 6 | 8 | 24 | 52 | 85 | -33 | 26 |
R | Burnley | 38 | 5 | 9 | 24 | 41 | 78 | -37 | 24 |
R | Sheffield UnitedSheff Utd | 38 | 3 | 7 | 28 | 35 | 104 | -69 | 16 |
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