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Major League Soccer
Toronto FC
Major League Soccer
Oct 1, 2023 at 12.30am UK
BMO Field
FC Cincinnati

Toronto
2 - 3
Cincinnati

Osorio (39', 44')
Antonoglou (74'), Osei Owusu (84')
FT(HT: 2-2)
Vazquez (28', 35'), Boupendza (72')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Saturday's Major League Soccer clash between Toronto and FC Cincinnati, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Toronto

All competitions
Last Game: NY City 3-0 Toronto
Sunday, September 24 at 6pm in Major League Soccer

FC Cincinnati

All competitions
Last Game: Cincinnati 3-0 Charlotte FC
Sunday, September 24 at 12.30am in Major League Soccer

We said: Toronto 1-2 FC Cincinnati

 Despite having clinched a playoff berth a long time ago, Noonan has managed to maintain a high level of intensity within this group and being a few games away from potentially making MLS history should keep them motivated this weekend. Herdman is a wonderful motivator himself who seems to have the Midas touch with the national teams he has coached, but it will take more than his inspirational words to clean up Toronto's defensive frailties.

How to watch

You can watch Toronto vs. FC Cincinnati and every MLS match this season live on Apple TV. Click here for more details on how to subscribe. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a FC Cincinnati win with a probability of 40.85%. A win for Toronto had a probability of 34.18% and a draw had a probability of 25%.

The most likely scoreline for a FC Cincinnati win was 1-2 with a probability of 8.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-1 (8.7%) and 0-2 (6.51%). The likeliest Toronto win was 2-1 (7.91%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (11.73%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that FC Cincinnati would win this match.

Result
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
34.18% (0.388 0.39) 24.97% (0.07 0.07) 40.85% (-0.46400000000001 -0.46)
Both teams to score 57.46% (-0.153 -0.15)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
54.12% (-0.24 -0.24)45.88% (0.235 0.23)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
31.81% (-0.228 -0.23)68.19% (0.22500000000001 0.23)
Toronto Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
74.03% (0.11500000000001 0.12)25.97% (-0.119 -0.12)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
39.02% (0.156 0.16)60.98% (-0.161 -0.16)
FC Cincinnati Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.61% (-0.331 -0.33)22.39% (0.326 0.33)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.11% (-0.492 -0.49)55.89% (0.488 0.49)
Score Analysis
    Toronto 34.18%
    FC Cincinnati 40.85%
    Draw 24.97%
TorontoDrawFC Cincinnati
2-1 @ 7.91% (0.056 0.06)
1-0 @ 7.84% (0.105 0.11)
2-0 @ 5.28% (0.088 0.09)
3-1 @ 3.56% (0.037 0.04)
3-2 @ 2.66% (0.0020000000000002 0)
3-0 @ 2.38% (0.048 0.05)
4-1 @ 1.2% (0.016 0.02)
Other @ 3.36%
Total : 34.18%
1-1 @ 11.73% (0.050000000000001 0.05)
2-2 @ 5.92% (-0.015000000000001 -0.02)
0-0 @ 5.81% (0.058 0.06)
3-3 @ 1.33% (-0.012 -0.01)
Other @ 0.18%
Total : 24.97%
1-2 @ 8.78% (-0.053000000000001 -0.05)
0-1 @ 8.7% (0.0030000000000001 0)
0-2 @ 6.51% (-0.061 -0.06)
1-3 @ 4.38% (-0.069 -0.07)
0-3 @ 3.25% (-0.063 -0.06)
2-3 @ 2.95% (-0.037 -0.04)
1-4 @ 1.64% (-0.042 -0.04)
0-4 @ 1.22% (-0.036 -0.04)
2-4 @ 1.11% (-0.025 -0.02)
Other @ 2.32%
Total : 40.85%

How you voted: Toronto vs Cincinnati

Toronto
9.1%
Draw
0.0%
FC Cincinnati
90.9%
11
Head to Head
Jun 22, 2023 12.30am
Cincinnati
3-0
Toronto
Arias (35'), Acosta (54'), Badji (63')
Nwobodo (19'), Gaddis (41'), Halsey (82')

Petretta (25'), Bernardeschi (41')
> Preview
May 5, 2022 12.30am
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Harris (2'), Acosta (57' pen.)
Nwobodo (59'), Blackett (75'), Barreal (88')

Nelson (12')
Priso-Mbongue (6')
> Preview
Apr 30, 2022 8pm
Toronto
1-2
Cincinnati
Jimenez (65')
Achara (86')
Murphy (44'), Acosta (52')
Powell (50')
> Preview
Sep 30, 2021 12am
Gameweek 36
Toronto
3-2
Cincinnati
Shaffelburg (48'), Delgado (55'), Achara (65')
Achara (59'), Soteldo (76'), Marshall-Rutty (90')

Valot (32'), Castillo (41'), Vallecilla (59'), Stanko (74')
> Preview
Sep 12, 2021 1am
Gameweek 30
Cincinnati
2-0
Toronto
Medunjanin (45+3'), Cameron (50'), Vallecilla (84'), Valot (85')
Morrow (37')
> Preview
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
> View full version> Yesterday's results
Tables header RHS

Eastern Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Inter MiamiInter Miami18105342271535
2FC CincinnatiCincinnati1610332316733
3New York City FCNY City169252417729
4New York Red BullsNY Red Bulls178542923629
5Charlotte FCCharlotte FC177461818025
6Columbus Crew146622113824
7Toronto177372626024
8Philadelphia UnionPhiladelphia164842723420
9Nashville SCNashville164752022-219
10DC United174762531-619
11Orlando City164571624-817
12CF MontrealMontreal164572335-1217
13Atlanta UnitedAtlanta164482221116
14Chicago Fire173681729-1215
15New England RevolutionNew England1541101227-1513

Western Conference

TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
1Real Salt LakeSalt Lake1796236191733
2Los Angeles FCLos Angeles169342819930
3Minnesota UnitedMinnesota Utd168532821729
4Los Angeles GalaxyLA Galaxy177733125628
5Vancouver WhitecapsVancouver167452419525
6Austin FCAustin176562125-423
7Houston DynamoHouston166461818022
8Colorado RapidsColorado176472931-222
9Portland TimbersPortland185673232021
10Seattle SoundersSeattle174672021-118
11St Louis City163942325-218
12Sporting Kansas CityKansas173592632-614
13Dallas163581825-714
14San Jose EarthquakesEarthquakes1632112439-1511
> Full Version


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