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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Stoke City win with a probability of 43.89%. A win for Millwall had a probability of 28.96% and a draw had a probability of 27.1%.
The most likely scoreline for a Stoke City win was 1-0 with a probability of 12.17%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-1 (8.73%) and 2-0 (8.3%). The likeliest Millwall win was 0-1 (9.41%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.81%). The actual scoreline of 0-0 was predicted with an 8.9% likelihood.
Result | ||
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
43.89% ( -0.32) | 27.15% ( 0.02) | 28.96% ( 0.31) |
Both teams to score 48.43% ( 0.12) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
43.42% ( 0.07) | 56.58% ( -0.06) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
22.44% ( 0.05) | 77.56% ( -0.05) |
Stoke City Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.4% ( -0.13) | 25.6% ( 0.14) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.51% ( -0.18) | 60.49% ( 0.19) |
Millwall Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
65.09% ( 0.27) | 34.9% ( -0.27) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
28.35% ( 0.29) | 71.64% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Stoke City | Draw | Millwall |
1-0 @ 12.17% ( -0.08) 2-1 @ 8.73% ( -0.03) 2-0 @ 8.3% ( -0.08) 3-1 @ 3.97% ( -0.03) 3-0 @ 3.77% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 2.09% ( 0) 4-1 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 4-0 @ 1.28% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.24% Total : 43.89% | 1-1 @ 12.81% ( 0.01) 0-0 @ 8.94% ( -0.02) 2-2 @ 4.59% ( 0.02) Other @ 0.8% Total : 27.14% | 0-1 @ 9.41% ( 0.05) 1-2 @ 6.74% ( 0.06) 0-2 @ 4.95% ( 0.06) 1-3 @ 2.37% ( 0.04) 0-3 @ 1.74% ( 0.03) 2-3 @ 1.61% ( 0.02) Other @ 2.14% Total : 28.96% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Leicester CityLeicester | 46 | 31 | 4 | 11 | 89 | 41 | 48 | 97 |
P | Ipswich TownIpswich | 46 | 28 | 12 | 6 | 92 | 57 | 35 | 96 |
3 | Leeds UnitedLeeds | 46 | 27 | 9 | 10 | 81 | 43 | 38 | 90 |
P | Southampton | 46 | 26 | 9 | 11 | 87 | 63 | 24 | 87 |
5 | West Bromwich AlbionWest Brom | 46 | 21 | 12 | 13 | 70 | 47 | 23 | 75 |
6 | Norwich CityNorwich | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 79 | 64 | 15 | 73 |
7 | Hull City | 46 | 19 | 13 | 14 | 68 | 60 | 8 | 70 |
8 | Middlesbrough | 46 | 20 | 9 | 17 | 71 | 62 | 9 | 69 |
9 | Coventry CityCoventry | 46 | 17 | 13 | 16 | 70 | 59 | 11 | 64 |
10 | Preston North EndPreston | 46 | 18 | 9 | 19 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 63 |
11 | Bristol City | 46 | 17 | 11 | 18 | 53 | 51 | 2 | 62 |
12 | Cardiff CityCardiff | 46 | 19 | 5 | 22 | 53 | 70 | -17 | 62 |
13 | Millwall | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 45 | 55 | -10 | 59 |
14 | Swansea CitySwansea | 46 | 15 | 12 | 19 | 59 | 65 | -6 | 57 |
15 | Watford | 46 | 13 | 17 | 16 | 61 | 61 | 0 | 56 |
16 | Sunderland | 46 | 16 | 8 | 22 | 52 | 54 | -2 | 56 |
17 | Stoke CityStoke | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 49 | 60 | -11 | 56 |
18 | Queens Park RangersQPR | 46 | 15 | 11 | 20 | 47 | 58 | -11 | 56 |
19 | Blackburn RoversBlackburn | 46 | 14 | 11 | 21 | 60 | 74 | -14 | 53 |
20 | Sheffield WednesdaySheff Weds | 46 | 15 | 8 | 23 | 44 | 68 | -24 | 53 |
21 | Plymouth ArgylePlymouth | 46 | 13 | 12 | 21 | 59 | 70 | -11 | 51 |
R | Birmingham CityBirmingham | 46 | 13 | 11 | 22 | 50 | 65 | -15 | 50 |
R | Huddersfield TownHuddersfield | 46 | 9 | 18 | 19 | 48 | 77 | -29 | 45 |
R | Rotherham UnitedRotherham | 46 | 5 | 12 | 29 | 37 | 89 | -52 | 27 |
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