Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lecce win with a probability of 41.36%. A win for Salernitana had a probability of 32.13% and a draw had a probability of 26.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lecce win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.68%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (8.67%) and 0-2 (7.35%). The likeliest Salernitana win was 1-0 (9.17%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.6%). The actual scoreline of 0-1 was predicted with a 10.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 0-1 win for Lecce in this match.
Result | ||
Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
32.13% ( 0.09) | 26.51% ( -0.05) | 41.36% ( -0.05) |
Both teams to score 51.75% ( 0.17) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
47.01% ( 0.2) | 52.99% ( -0.2) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
25.41% ( 0.17) | 74.58% ( -0.17) |
Salernitana Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
69.25% ( 0.16) | 30.75% ( -0.17) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
32.99% ( 0.19) | 67.01% ( -0.19) |
Lecce Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
74.72% ( 0.06) | 25.28% ( -0.07) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
39.96% ( 0.09) | 60.04% ( -0.09) |
Score Analysis |
Salernitana | Draw | Lecce |
1-0 @ 9.17% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 7.43% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 5.41% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 2.92% ( 0.02) 3-0 @ 2.13% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 2.01% ( 0.02) Other @ 3.07% Total : 32.13% | 1-1 @ 12.6% ( -0.02) 0-0 @ 7.77% ( -0.06) 2-2 @ 5.11% ( 0.02) 3-3 @ 0.92% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.1% Total : 26.5% | 0-1 @ 10.68% ( -0.07) 1-2 @ 8.67% ( 0) 0-2 @ 7.35% ( -0.03) 1-3 @ 3.97% ( 0.01) 0-3 @ 3.37% ( -0.01) 2-3 @ 2.34% ( 0.02) 1-4 @ 1.37% ( 0.01) 0-4 @ 1.16% ( -0) Other @ 2.44% Total : 41.35% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Inter Milan | 38 | 29 | 7 | 2 | 89 | 22 | 67 | 94 |
2 | AC Milan | 38 | 22 | 9 | 7 | 76 | 49 | 27 | 75 |
3 | Juventus | 38 | 19 | 14 | 5 | 54 | 31 | 23 | 71 |
4 | Atalanta BCAtalanta | 37 | 21 | 6 | 10 | 70 | 39 | 31 | 69 |
5 | Bologna | 38 | 18 | 14 | 6 | 54 | 32 | 22 | 68 |
6 | Roma | 38 | 18 | 9 | 11 | 65 | 46 | 19 | 63 |
7 | Lazio | 38 | 18 | 7 | 13 | 49 | 39 | 10 | 61 |
8 | Fiorentina | 37 | 16 | 9 | 12 | 58 | 44 | 14 | 57 |
9 | Torino | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 36 | 36 | 0 | 53 |
10 | Napoli | 38 | 13 | 14 | 11 | 55 | 48 | 7 | 53 |
11 | Genoa | 38 | 12 | 13 | 13 | 45 | 45 | 0 | 49 |
12 | Monza | 38 | 11 | 12 | 15 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 45 |
13 | Hellas VeronaHellas Verona | 38 | 9 | 11 | 18 | 38 | 51 | -13 | 38 |
14 | Lecce | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 32 | 54 | -22 | 38 |
15 | Udinese | 38 | 6 | 19 | 13 | 37 | 53 | -16 | 37 |
16 | CagliariCagliari | 38 | 8 | 12 | 18 | 42 | 68 | -26 | 36 |
17 | Empoli | 38 | 9 | 9 | 20 | 29 | 54 | -25 | 36 |
R | FrosinoneFrosinone | 38 | 8 | 11 | 19 | 44 | 69 | -25 | 35 |
R | SassuoloSassuolo | 38 | 7 | 9 | 22 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 30 |
R | Salernitana | 38 | 2 | 11 | 25 | 32 | 81 | -49 | 17 |
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