Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Reims win with a probability of 53.23%. A draw had a probability of 24.4% and a win for Metz had a probability of 22.32%.
The most likely scoreline for a Reims win was 1-0 with a probability of 11.86%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (9.83%) and 2-1 (9.63%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.62%), while for a Metz win it was 0-1 (7.02%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 9.6% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Reims would win this match.
Result | ||
Reims | Draw | Metz |
53.23% ( 0.37) | 24.45% ( -0.23) | 22.32% ( -0.14) |
Both teams to score 50.54% ( 0.5) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
49.06% ( 0.75) | 50.94% ( -0.75) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
27.19% ( 0.66) | 72.81% ( -0.66) |
Reims Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
80.91% ( 0.44) | 19.08% ( -0.44) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.3% ( 0.72) | 50.7% ( -0.71) |
Metz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
62.46% ( 0.29) | 37.54% ( -0.28) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
25.68% ( 0.28) | 74.32% ( -0.28) |
Score Analysis |
Reims | Draw | Metz |
1-0 @ 11.86% ( -0.2) 2-0 @ 9.83% ( -0.03) 2-1 @ 9.63% ( 0.05) 3-0 @ 5.43% ( 0.06) 3-1 @ 5.32% ( 0.1) 3-2 @ 2.6% ( 0.07) 4-0 @ 2.25% ( 0.06) 4-1 @ 2.2% ( 0.07) 4-2 @ 1.08% ( 0.04) Other @ 3.04% Total : 53.22% | 1-1 @ 11.62% ( -0.1) 0-0 @ 7.16% ( -0.22) 2-2 @ 4.72% ( 0.06) Other @ 0.94% Total : 24.44% | 0-1 @ 7.02% ( -0.16) 1-2 @ 5.7% ( -0) 0-2 @ 3.44% ( -0.05) 1-3 @ 1.86% ( 0.01) 2-3 @ 1.54% ( 0.03) 0-3 @ 1.12% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.64% Total : 22.32% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |