MX23RW : Wednesday, May 29 06:29:15| >> :600:278050:278050:
Montpellier
Coupe de France | Round of 16
Feb 7, 2024 at 7.30pm UK
Stade de la Mosson
Nice

Montpellier
1 - 4
Nice

Sagnan (75')
Savanier (34'), Lecomte (61')
FT(HT: 0-3)
Ndayishimiye (29'), Louchet (37'), Cho (39'), Claude-Maurice (62' pen.)
Claude-Maurice (34'), Rosario (46'), Balde (71')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Coupe de France clash between Montpellier HSC and Nice, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Last Game: Brest 0-0 Nice
Sunday, February 4 at 4.05pm in Ligue 1

We said: Montpellier HSC 1-1 Nice

Despite the gap in the league standings between these sides, Montpellier have fared well on their home patch this season and head into this match unbeaten in their last four on home soil. In contrast, Nice have struggled to find wins on the road of late and failed to score in three of their last four away league matches. We are expecting a tight and tactical match here and feel that we may need penalties to find the winner in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Nice win with a probability of 46.58%. A win for Montpellier HSC had a probability of 27.74% and a draw had a probability of 25.7%.

The most likely scoreline for a Nice win was 0-1 with a probability of 11.06%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.22%) and 0-2 (8.35%). The likeliest Montpellier HSC win was 1-0 (8.09%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (12.21%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1.8% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted that Nice would win this match.

Result
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
27.74% (-0.28 -0.28) 25.68% (-0.061999999999998 -0.06) 46.58% (0.34200000000001 0.34)
Both teams to score 52.06% (-0.0030000000000001 -0)
Goals
Over 2.5Under 2.5
48.49% (0.088999999999999 0.09)51.51% (-0.088000000000001 -0.09)
Over 3.5Under 3.5
26.69% (0.075999999999997 0.08)73.31% (-0.075999999999993 -0.08)
Montpellier HSC Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
66.83% (-0.17099999999999 -0.17)33.17% (0.171 0.17)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
30.23% (-0.186 -0.19)69.77% (0.18700000000001 0.19)
Nice Goals
Over 0.5Under 0.5
77.9% (0.194 0.19)22.1% (-0.194 -0.19)
Over 1.5Under 1.5
44.54% (0.289 0.29)55.46% (-0.29 -0.29)
Score Analysis
    Montpellier HSC 27.74%
    Nice 46.58%
    Draw 25.67%
Montpellier HSCDrawNice
1-0 @ 8.09% (-0.067 -0.07)
2-1 @ 6.74% (-0.047 -0.05)
2-0 @ 4.46% (-0.058 -0.06)
3-1 @ 2.48% (-0.029 -0.03)
3-2 @ 1.87% (-0.011 -0.01)
3-0 @ 1.64% (-0.029 -0.03)
Other @ 2.45%
Total : 27.74%
1-1 @ 12.21% (-0.029999999999999 -0.03)
0-0 @ 7.33% (-0.026 -0.03)
2-2 @ 5.09% (-0.0069999999999997 -0.01)
3-3 @ 0.94%
Other @ 0.11%
Total : 25.67%
0-1 @ 11.06% (0.020000000000001 0.02)
1-2 @ 9.22% (0.030000000000001 0.03)
0-2 @ 8.35% (0.067 0.07)
1-3 @ 4.64% (0.042 0.04)
0-3 @ 4.2% (0.058000000000001 0.06)
2-3 @ 2.56% (0.011 0.01)
1-4 @ 1.75% (0.025 0.02)
0-4 @ 1.59% (0.031 0.03)
2-4 @ 0.97% (0.01 0.01)
Other @ 2.25%
Total : 46.58%

How you voted: Montpellier vs Nice

Montpellier HSC
26.5%
Draw
33.8%
Nice
39.7%
68
Head to Head
Nov 10, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 12
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
Rosario (5'), Boudaoui (45+1'), Todibo (71'), Bard (82')
May 27, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 37
Montpellier
2-3
Nice
Savanier (7', 17' pen.)
Barkley (53'), Laborde (67', 79')
Boudaoui (63'), Rosario (88'), Dante (90')
Jan 11, 2023 8pm
Gameweek 18
Nice
6-1
Montpellier
Pepe (15', 56'), Thuram (35'), Delort (75'), Barkley (82', 85')
Savanier (80')
Mar 12, 2022 4pm
Gameweek 28
Montpellier
0-0
Nice
Esteve (20'), Wahi (69'), Makouana (90+1')
Lotomba (22'), Boudaoui (32')
Dante (35')
Nov 7, 2021 4pm
Gameweek 13
Nice
0-1
Montpellier

Thuram (63'), Bard (77')
Mollet (80')
rhs 2.0
Today's games header
Tables header RHS
TeamPWDLFAGDPTS
CManchester CityMan City38287396346291
2Arsenal38285591296289
3Liverpool382410486414582
4Aston Villa382081076611568
5Tottenham HotspurSpurs382061274611366
6Chelsea381891177631463
7Newcastle UnitedNewcastle381861485622360
8Manchester UnitedMan Utd38186145758-160
9West Ham UnitedWest Ham381410146074-1452
10Crystal Palace381310155758-149
11Brighton & Hove AlbionBrighton381212145562-748
12Bournemouth38139165467-1348
13Fulham38138175561-647
14Wolverhampton WanderersWolves38137185065-1546
15Everton38139164051-1140
16Brentford38109195665-939
17Nottingham ForestNott'm Forest3899204967-1832
RLuton TownLuton3868245285-3326
RBurnley3859244178-3724
RSheffield UnitedSheff Utd38372835104-6916


Sports Mole provides in-depth previews and predictions for every match from the biggest leagues and competitions in world football.
Argentina's Lionel Messi kisses the World Cup trophy after collecting the Golden Ball award on December 18, 2022Sign up for our FREE daily preview newsletter direct to your inbox!