Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Rennes win with a probability of 54.91%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 21.84%.
The most likely scoreline for a Rennes win was 0-1 with a probability of 10.64%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-2 (9.83%) and 0-2 (9.49%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.02%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.18%). The actual scoreline of 2-1 was predicted with a 5.7% likelihood.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
21.84% ( 0.1) | 23.25% ( 0.06) | 54.91% ( -0.16) |
Both teams to score 53.64% ( -0.06) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
53.49% ( -0.15) | 46.51% ( 0.15) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
31.21% ( -0.14) | 68.79% ( 0.14) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
64.48% ( 0.02) | 35.52% ( -0.01) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
27.72% ( 0.02) | 72.28% ( -0.01) |
Rennes Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
83.19% ( -0.11) | 16.81% ( 0.11) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
53.21% ( -0.19) | 46.79% ( 0.2) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Rennes |
1-0 @ 6.18% ( 0.04) 2-1 @ 5.71% ( 0.02) 2-0 @ 3.2% ( 0.02) 3-1 @ 1.97% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.76% 3-0 @ 1.1% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.93% Total : 21.84% | 1-1 @ 11.02% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 5.97% ( 0.04) 2-2 @ 5.09% ( -0) 3-3 @ 1.04% ( -0) Other @ 0.13% Total : 23.25% | 0-1 @ 10.64% ( 0.02) 1-2 @ 9.83% ( -0.01) 0-2 @ 9.49% ( -0.01) 1-3 @ 5.84% ( -0.03) 0-3 @ 5.64% ( -0.03) 2-3 @ 3.02% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 2.6% ( -0.02) 0-4 @ 2.52% ( -0.02) 2-4 @ 1.35% ( -0.01) 1-5 @ 0.93% ( -0.01) Other @ 3.05% Total : 54.9% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |