Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Lens win with a probability of 57.97%. A draw had a probability of 24.1% and a win for Lorient had a probability of 17.96%.
The most likely scoreline for a Lens win was 0-1 with a probability of 13.91%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (11.67%) and 1-2 (9.48%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.29%), while for a Lorient win it was 1-0 (6.73%). The actual scoreline of 1-3 was predicted with a 5.3% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Lens would win this match.
Result | ||
Lorient | Draw | Lens |
17.96% ( 0.02) | 24.07% ( 0) | 57.97% ( -0.02) |
Both teams to score 45.22% ( 0.02) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
45.36% ( 0.01) | 54.64% ( -0.01) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
24.03% ( 0.01) | 75.97% ( -0.01) |
Lorient Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
55.61% ( 0.03) | 44.39% ( -0.03) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
19.56% ( 0.02) | 80.44% ( -0.02) |
Lens Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
81.32% ( -0) | 18.68% ( 0) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
49.98% ( -0.01) | 50.01% ( 0) |
Score Analysis |
Lorient | Draw | Lens |
1-0 @ 6.73% ( 0) 2-1 @ 4.59% ( 0) 2-0 @ 2.74% ( 0) 3-1 @ 1.24% ( 0) 3-2 @ 1.04% ( 0) Other @ 1.62% Total : 17.96% | 1-1 @ 11.29% 0-0 @ 8.29% ( -0) 2-2 @ 3.85% ( 0) Other @ 0.64% Total : 24.07% | 0-1 @ 13.91% 0-2 @ 11.67% 1-2 @ 9.48% ( 0) 0-3 @ 6.53% ( -0) 1-3 @ 5.3% 0-4 @ 2.74% ( -0) 1-4 @ 2.22% 2-3 @ 2.15% ( 0) 0-5 @ 0.92% ( -0) 2-4 @ 0.9% ( 0) Other @ 2.14% Total : 57.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Paris Saint-GermainPSG | 34 | 22 | 10 | 2 | 81 | 33 | 48 | 76 |
2 | MonacoMonaco | 34 | 20 | 7 | 7 | 68 | 42 | 26 | 67 |
3 | Brest | 34 | 17 | 10 | 7 | 53 | 34 | 19 | 61 |
4 | Lille | 34 | 16 | 11 | 7 | 52 | 34 | 18 | 59 |
5 | Nice | 34 | 15 | 10 | 9 | 40 | 29 | 11 | 55 |
6 | Lyon | 34 | 16 | 5 | 13 | 49 | 55 | -6 | 53 |
7 | Lens | 34 | 14 | 9 | 11 | 45 | 37 | 8 | 51 |
8 | Marseille | 34 | 13 | 11 | 10 | 52 | 41 | 11 | 50 |
9 | Reims | 34 | 13 | 8 | 13 | 42 | 47 | -5 | 47 |
10 | Rennes | 34 | 12 | 10 | 12 | 53 | 46 | 7 | 46 |
11 | Toulouse | 34 | 11 | 10 | 13 | 42 | 46 | -4 | 43 |
12 | Montpellier HSCMontpellier | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 43 | 48 | -5 | 41 |
13 | StrasbourgStrasbourg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 38 | 50 | -12 | 39 |
14 | NantesNantes | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 30 | 55 | -25 | 33 |
15 | Le HavreLe Havre | 34 | 7 | 11 | 16 | 34 | 45 | -11 | 32 |
16 | Metz | 34 | 8 | 5 | 21 | 35 | 58 | -23 | 29 |
R | Lorient | 34 | 7 | 8 | 19 | 43 | 66 | -23 | 29 |
R | Clermont | 34 | 5 | 10 | 19 | 26 | 60 | -34 | 25 |
> Ligue 1 Full Table |