Serie A

Serie A | Gameweek 26

Feb 25, 2024 at 5pm UK

Stadio Comunale Via del Mare

Lecce
0 - 4
Inter Milan

Sansone (2')

FT(HT: 0-1)

Martinez (15', 56'), Frattesi (54'), de Vrij (67')
Asllani (38'), Mkhitaryan (63')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Sunday's Serie A clash between Lecce and Inter Milan, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Lecce

All competitions

Last Game: Torino 2-0 Lecce
Friday, February 16 at 6pm in Serie A

Goals
for

Top scorers

Inter Milan

All competitions

Serie A

Last Game: Inter Milan 1-0 Atletico
Tuesday, February 20 at 8pm in Champions League

Goals
for

Top scorers

We said: Lecce 1-2 Inter Milan

Via del Mare is not a place to venture without caution, but Lecce are on a downward slope and Inter have been simply irresistible this year. Even accounting for some squad rotation, Inzaghi's boys can post another win and inch closer towards the title. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Inter Milan win with a probability of 57.39%. A draw had a probability of 23.5% and a win for Lecce had a probability of 19.1%.

The most likely scoreline for a Inter Milan win was 0-1 with a probability of 12.49%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (10.87%) and 1-2 (9.72%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (11.16%), while for a Lecce win it was 1-0 (6.41%). The actual scoreline of 0-4 was predicted with a 2.7% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Inter Milan would win this match.

Result
Lecce	Draw	Inter Milan
19.1% ( -0.51)	23.51% ( -0.26)	57.39% ( 0.76)

Both teams to score 48.72% (

-0.06)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

49.02% (

0.34)

50.98% (

-0.34)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

27.15% (

0.3)

72.85% (

-0.3)

Lecce Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

59.08% (

-0.37)

40.92% (

0.37)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

22.52% (

-0.33)

77.48% (

0.33)

Inter Milan Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

82.46% (

0.4)

17.54% (

-0.4)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

51.93% (

0.7)

48.07% (

-0.69)

Score Analysis

Lecce 19.1%

Inter Milan 57.39%

Draw 23.51%

Lecce	Draw	Inter Milan
1-0 @ 6.41% ( -0.15) 2-1 @ 4.99% ( -0.1) 2-0 @ 2.87% ( -0.1) 3-1 @ 1.49% ( -0.05) 3-2 @ 1.29% ( -0.02) Other @ 2.06% Total : 19.1%	1-1 @ 11.16% ( -0.12) 0-0 @ 7.18% ( -0.1) 2-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.03) Other @ 0.83% Total : 23.51%	0-1 @ 12.49% 0-2 @ 10.87% ( 0.14) 1-2 @ 9.72% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 6.31% ( 0.16) 1-3 @ 5.64% ( 0.09) 0-4 @ 2.75% ( 0.11) 2-3 @ 2.52% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 2.45% ( 0.07) 2-4 @ 1.1% ( 0.02) 0-5 @ 0.96% ( 0.05) Other @ 2.59% Total : 57.39%