Euro Champ Qualifying | Group Stage
Sep 12, 2023 at 7.45pm UK
Bloomfield Stadium
We said: Israel 2-0 Belarus
Israel should feel boosted after a fine run of form since June, taking seven points from their last three qualifiers.
Belarus have also picked up slightly, but a dismal draw with Andorra suggests they could struggle in Tel-Aviv.
Read more.Data Analysis
Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Israel win with a probability of 61.08%. A draw had a probability of 23.3% and a win for Belarus had a probability of 15.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Israel win was 1-0 with a probability of 14.67%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (12.67%) and 2-1 (9.36%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (10.83%), while for a Belarus win it was 0-1 (6.27%). The actual scoreline of 1-0 was predicted with a 14.7% likelihood. Our data analysis correctly predicted a 1-0 win for Israel in this match and our team at Sports Mole correctly predicted the win for Israel.
Result |
Israel | Draw | Belarus |
61.08% ( 0.16) | 23.31% ( 0) | 15.61% ( -0.17) |
Both teams to score 42.92% ( -0.34) |
44.75% ( -0.27) | 55.25% ( 0.27) |
23.52% ( -0.22) | 76.48% ( 0.22) |
82.23% ( -0.04) | 17.76% ( 0.04) |