Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Valencia win with a probability of 42.21%. A draw had a probability of 29.2% and a win for Cadiz had a probability of 28.61%.
The most likely scoreline for a Valencia win was 0-1 with a probability of 14.07%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.52%) and 1-2 (8.02%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (13.25%), while for a Cadiz win it was 1-0 (10.95%). The actual scoreline of 1-4 was predicted with a 1% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Valencia would win this match.
Result | ||
Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
28.61% ( -0.21) | 29.17% ( -0.02) | 42.21% ( 0.23) |
Both teams to score 42.79% ( -0.05) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
36.41% ( -0.02) | 63.58% ( 0.02) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
17.11% ( -0.01) | 82.89% ( 0.01) |
Cadiz Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
60.98% ( -0.18) | 39.01% ( 0.18) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
24.26% ( -0.17) | 75.73% ( 0.17) |
Valencia Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
70.17% ( 0.12) | 29.83% ( -0.12) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
34.09% ( 0.15) | 65.91% ( -0.15) |
Score Analysis |
Cadiz | Draw | Valencia |
1-0 @ 10.95% ( -0.05) 2-1 @ 6.24% ( -0.04) 2-0 @ 5.16% ( -0.05) 3-1 @ 1.96% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 1.62% ( -0.02) 3-2 @ 1.18% ( -0.01) Other @ 1.51% Total : 28.61% | 1-1 @ 13.25% ( -0.01) 0-0 @ 11.63% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 3.77% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.51% Total : 29.17% | 0-1 @ 14.07% ( 0.05) 0-2 @ 8.52% ( 0.06) 1-2 @ 8.02% ( 0.02) 0-3 @ 3.43% ( 0.04) 1-3 @ 3.23% ( 0.02) 2-3 @ 1.52% ( 0) 0-4 @ 1.04% ( 0.01) 1-4 @ 0.98% ( 0.01) Other @ 1.4% Total : 42.21% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Real Madrid | 38 | 29 | 8 | 1 | 87 | 26 | 61 | 95 |
2 | Barcelona | 38 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 79 | 44 | 35 | 85 |
3 | GironaGirona | 38 | 25 | 6 | 7 | 85 | 46 | 39 | 81 |
4 | Atletico MadridAtletico | 38 | 24 | 4 | 10 | 70 | 43 | 27 | 76 |
5 | Athletic Bilbao | 38 | 19 | 11 | 8 | 61 | 37 | 24 | 68 |
6 | Real Sociedad | 38 | 16 | 12 | 10 | 51 | 39 | 12 | 60 |
7 | Real BetisBetis | 38 | 14 | 15 | 9 | 48 | 45 | 3 | 57 |
8 | Villarreal | 38 | 14 | 11 | 13 | 65 | 65 | 0 | 53 |
9 | Valencia | 38 | 13 | 10 | 15 | 40 | 45 | -5 | 49 |
10 | AlavesAlaves | 38 | 12 | 10 | 16 | 36 | 46 | -10 | 46 |
11 | Osasuna | 38 | 12 | 9 | 17 | 45 | 56 | -11 | 45 |
12 | Getafe | 38 | 10 | 13 | 15 | 42 | 54 | -12 | 43 |
13 | Celta Vigo | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 46 | 57 | -11 | 41 |
14 | Sevilla | 38 | 10 | 11 | 17 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 41 |
15 | Mallorca | 38 | 8 | 16 | 14 | 33 | 44 | -11 | 40 |
16 | Las PalmasLas Palmas | 38 | 10 | 10 | 18 | 33 | 47 | -14 | 40 |
17 | Rayo Vallecano | 38 | 8 | 14 | 16 | 29 | 48 | -19 | 38 |
R | CadizCadiz | 38 | 6 | 15 | 17 | 26 | 55 | -29 | 33 |
R | Almeria | 38 | 3 | 12 | 23 | 43 | 75 | -32 | 21 |
R | Granada | 38 | 4 | 9 | 25 | 38 | 79 | -41 | 21 |
> La Liga Full Table |