Primeira Liga | Gameweek 19

Jan 31, 2024 at 8.45pm UK

Estadio Municipal de Braga

Braga
1 - 1
Chaves

Zalazar (52')
Jorge (28'), Ruiz (90+10')

FT(HT: 0-0)

Vitoria (64')
Ribeiro (27'), Guzzo (33'), Vitoria (70'), Correia (90+7'), Phete (90+10')
Vitoria (90+10')

The Match

Preview

Sports Mole previews Wednesday's Primeira Liga clash between Braga and Chaves, including predictions, team news and possible lineups.

Form, Standings, Stats

Braga

All competitions

Primeira Liga

Last Game: Braga 1-1 Estoril (5-4 pen.)
Saturday, January 27 at 7.45pm in Taca da Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Chaves

All competitions

Last Game: Chaves 0-0 Rio Ave
Sunday, January 21 at 6pm in Primeira Liga

Goals
for

Top scorers

Braga will be full of confidence following their crowning as Taca da Liga champions, however they must warn against complacency as the division's bottom side come to town. Chaves have failed to win an away match since October 1, and we cannot envisage the Flavienses changing their fortunes on the road in this one. Read more.

Data Analysis

Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Braga win with a probability of 64.46%. A draw had a probability of 20% and a win for Chaves had a probability of 15.52%.

The most likely scoreline for a Braga win was 2-0 with a probability of 10.78%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 1-0 (10.3%) and 2-1 (9.9%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (9.46%), while for a Chaves win it was 0-1 (4.52%). The actual scoreline of 1-1 was predicted with a 9.5% likelihood.

Result
Braga	Draw	Chaves
64.46% ( 0.43)	20.02% ( -0.01)	15.52% ( -0.43)

Both teams to score 52.66% (

-1.01)

Goals

Over 2.5

Under 2.5

57.94% (

-0.83)

42.06% (

0.83)

Over 3.5

Under 3.5

35.53% (

-0.84)

64.46% (

0.84)

Braga Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

87.67% (

-0.13)

12.32% (

0.13)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

61.87% (

-0.27)

38.12% (

0.27)

Chaves Goals

Over 0.5

Under 0.5

60.06% (

-1.06)

39.93% (

1.06)

Over 1.5

Under 1.5

23.4% (

-0.98)

76.59% (

0.98)

Score Analysis

Braga 64.45%

Chaves 15.52%

Draw 20.02%

Braga	Draw	Chaves
2-0 @ 10.78% ( 0.29) 1-0 @ 10.3% ( 0.32) 2-1 @ 9.9% ( -0.02) 3-0 @ 7.53% ( 0.17) 3-1 @ 6.91% ( -0.04) 4-0 @ 3.94% ( 0.07) 4-1 @ 3.62% ( -0.04) 3-2 @ 3.17% ( -0.11) 4-2 @ 1.66% ( -0.07) 5-0 @ 1.65% ( 0.02) 5-1 @ 1.51% ( -0.03) Other @ 3.48% Total : 64.45%	1-1 @ 9.46% ( 0.03) 0-0 @ 4.92% ( 0.18) 2-2 @ 4.54% ( -0.14) 3-3 @ 0.97% ( -0.07) Other @ 0.13% Total : 20.02%	0-1 @ 4.52% ( 0.04) 1-2 @ 4.34% ( -0.11) 0-2 @ 2.07% ( -0.04) 2-3 @ 1.39% ( -0.09) 1-3 @ 1.33% ( -0.07) Other @ 1.87% Total : 15.52%