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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bolton Wanderers win with a probability of 54.53%. A win for Barnsley had a probability of 24% and a draw had a probability of 21.5%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bolton Wanderers win was 2-1 with a probability of 9.63%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 2-0 (7.51%) and 1-0 (7.42%). The likeliest Barnsley win was 1-2 (6.11%), while for a drawn scoreline it was 1-1 (9.52%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 2.6% likelihood.
Result | ||
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
54.53% ( -1.36) | 21.46% ( 0.39) | 24% ( 0.97) |
Both teams to score 62.7% ( -0.18) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
64.15% ( -0.78) | 35.85% ( 0.78) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
42.07% ( -0.86) | 57.93% ( 0.87) |
Bolton Wanderers Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
86.76% ( -0.66) | 13.24% ( 0.66) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
60% ( -1.36) | 40% ( 1.36) |
Barnsley Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
72.26% ( 0.34) | 27.73% ( -0.34) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
36.7% ( 0.43) | 63.3% ( -0.43) |
Score Analysis |
Bolton Wanderers | Draw | Barnsley |
2-1 @ 9.63% ( -0.01) 2-0 @ 7.51% ( -0.08) 1-0 @ 7.42% ( 0.1) 3-1 @ 6.49% ( -0.17) 3-0 @ 5.06% ( -0.19) 3-2 @ 4.16% ( -0.07) 4-1 @ 3.28% ( -0.17) 4-0 @ 2.56% ( -0.16) 4-2 @ 2.1% ( -0.09) 5-1 @ 1.33% ( -0.11) 5-0 @ 1.04% ( -0.09) Other @ 3.97% Total : 54.53% | 1-1 @ 9.52% ( 0.22) 2-2 @ 6.17% ( 0.05) 0-0 @ 3.67% ( 0.14) 3-3 @ 1.78% ( -0.01) Other @ 0.32% Total : 21.46% | 1-2 @ 6.11% ( 0.2) 0-1 @ 4.71% ( 0.22) 0-2 @ 3.02% ( 0.17) 2-3 @ 2.64% ( 0.05) 1-3 @ 2.61% ( 0.11) 0-3 @ 1.29% ( 0.09) Other @ 3.63% Total : 24% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Portsmouth | 46 | 28 | 13 | 5 | 78 | 41 | 37 | 97 |
P | Derby CountyDerby | 46 | 28 | 8 | 10 | 78 | 37 | 41 | 92 |
3 | Bolton WanderersBolton | 46 | 25 | 12 | 9 | 86 | 51 | 35 | 87 |
4 | Peterborough UnitedPeterborough | 46 | 25 | 9 | 12 | 89 | 61 | 28 | 84 |
5 | Oxford UnitedOxford Utd | 46 | 22 | 11 | 13 | 79 | 56 | 23 | 77 |
6 | Barnsley | 46 | 21 | 13 | 12 | 82 | 64 | 18 | 76 |
7 | Lincoln CityLincoln | 46 | 20 | 14 | 12 | 65 | 40 | 25 | 74 |
8 | Blackpool | 46 | 21 | 10 | 15 | 65 | 48 | 17 | 73 |
9 | Stevenage | 46 | 19 | 14 | 13 | 57 | 46 | 11 | 71 |
10 | Wycombe WanderersWycombe | 46 | 17 | 14 | 15 | 60 | 55 | 5 | 65 |
11 | Leyton Orient | 46 | 18 | 11 | 17 | 53 | 55 | -2 | 65 |
12 | Wigan AthleticWigan | 46 | 20 | 10 | 16 | 63 | 56 | 7 | 62 |
13 | Exeter CityExeter | 46 | 17 | 10 | 19 | 46 | 61 | -15 | 61 |
14 | Northampton TownNorthampton | 46 | 17 | 9 | 20 | 57 | 66 | -9 | 60 |
15 | Bristol Rovers | 46 | 16 | 9 | 21 | 52 | 68 | -16 | 57 |
16 | Charlton AthleticCharlton | 46 | 11 | 20 | 15 | 64 | 65 | -1 | 53 |
17 | Reading | 46 | 16 | 11 | 19 | 68 | 70 | -2 | 53 |
18 | Cambridge UnitedCambridge | 46 | 12 | 12 | 22 | 39 | 61 | -22 | 48 |
19 | Shrewsbury TownShrewsbury | 46 | 13 | 9 | 24 | 35 | 67 | -32 | 48 |
20 | Burton Albion | 46 | 12 | 10 | 24 | 39 | 67 | -28 | 46 |
R | Cheltenham TownCheltenham | 46 | 12 | 8 | 26 | 41 | 65 | -24 | 44 |
R | Fleetwood TownFleetwood | 46 | 10 | 13 | 23 | 49 | 72 | -23 | 43 |
R | Port Vale | 46 | 10 | 11 | 25 | 41 | 74 | -33 | 41 |
R | Carlisle UnitedCarlisle | 46 | 7 | 9 | 30 | 41 | 81 | -40 | 30 |
> League One Full Table |