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Our analysis of all available data, including recent performances and player stats up until an hour before kickoff, suggested the most likely outcome of this match was a Bayern Munich win with a probability of 69.97%. A draw had a probability of 16.3% and a win for Augsburg had a probability of 13.76%.
The most likely scoreline for a Bayern Munich win was 1-2 with a probability of 9.08%. The next most likely scorelines for that outcome were 0-2 (8.14%) and 1-3 (8.01%). The likeliest drawn scoreline was 1-1 (6.87%), while for an Augsburg win it was 2-1 (3.83%). The actual scoreline of 2-3 was predicted with a 4.5% likelihood. Our team at Sports Mole and our data analysis both correctly predicted that Bayern Munich would win this match.
Result | ||
Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
13.76% ( 0.08) | 16.27% ( 0.04) | 69.97% ( -0.11) |
Both teams to score 62.44% ( 0.08) |
Goals |
Over 2.5 | Under 2.5 |
72.45% ( 0) | 27.55% ( 0) |
Over 3.5 | Under 3.5 |
51.82% ( 0) | 48.18% ( 0) |
Augsburg Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
67.22% ( 0.1) | 32.79% ( -0.1) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
30.65% ( 0.12) | 69.35% ( -0.11) |
Bayern Munich Goals |
Over 0.5 | Under 0.5 |
92.9% ( -0.02) | 7.1% ( 0.02) |
Over 1.5 | Under 1.5 |
74.11% ( -0.06) | 25.89% ( 0.06) |
Score Analysis |
Augsburg | Draw | Bayern Munich |
2-1 @ 3.83% ( 0.02) 1-0 @ 2.6% ( 0.01) 3-2 @ 1.88% ( 0.01) 2-0 @ 1.45% ( 0.01) 3-1 @ 1.42% ( 0.01) Other @ 2.58% Total : 13.76% | 1-1 @ 6.87% ( 0.01) 2-2 @ 5.07% ( 0.02) 0-0 @ 2.33% 3-3 @ 1.66% ( 0.01) Other @ 0.35% Total : 16.27% | 1-2 @ 9.08% ( 0.01) 0-2 @ 8.14% ( -0.02) 1-3 @ 8.01% ( -0.01) 0-3 @ 7.18% ( -0.02) 0-1 @ 6.16% ( -0.01) 1-4 @ 5.29% ( -0.01) 0-4 @ 4.75% ( -0.02) 2-3 @ 4.46% ( 0.01) 2-4 @ 2.95% ( 0) 1-5 @ 2.8% ( -0.01) 0-5 @ 2.51% ( -0.02) 2-5 @ 1.56% 1-6 @ 1.23% ( -0.01) 0-6 @ 1.11% ( -0.01) 3-4 @ 1.1% ( 0) Other @ 3.64% Total : 69.97% |
Team | P | W | D | L | F | A | GD | PTS | |
C | Bayer LeverkusenB. Leverkusen | 34 | 28 | 6 | 0 | 89 | 24 | 65 | 90 |
2 | Stuttgart | 34 | 23 | 4 | 7 | 78 | 39 | 39 | 73 |
3 | Bayern MunichBayern | 34 | 23 | 3 | 8 | 94 | 45 | 49 | 72 |
4 | RB Leipzig | 34 | 19 | 8 | 7 | 77 | 39 | 38 | 65 |
5 | Borussia DortmundDortmund | 34 | 18 | 9 | 7 | 68 | 43 | 25 | 63 |
6 | Eintracht FrankfurtFrankfurt | 34 | 11 | 14 | 9 | 51 | 50 | 1 | 47 |
7 | Hoffenheim | 34 | 13 | 7 | 14 | 66 | 66 | 0 | 46 |
8 | Heidenheim | 34 | 10 | 12 | 12 | 50 | 55 | -5 | 42 |
9 | Werder Bremen | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 48 | 54 | -6 | 42 |
10 | Freiburg | 34 | 11 | 9 | 14 | 45 | 58 | -13 | 42 |
11 | Augsburg | 34 | 10 | 9 | 15 | 50 | 60 | -10 | 39 |
12 | Wolfsburg | 34 | 10 | 7 | 17 | 41 | 56 | -15 | 37 |
13 | Mainz 05Mainz | 34 | 7 | 14 | 13 | 39 | 51 | -12 | 35 |
14 | Borussia MonchengladbachBorussia M'bach | 34 | 7 | 13 | 14 | 56 | 67 | -11 | 34 |
15 | Union BerlinUnion Berlin | 34 | 9 | 6 | 19 | 33 | 58 | -25 | 33 |
16 | VfL BochumVfL Bochum | 34 | 7 | 12 | 15 | 42 | 74 | -32 | 33 |
R | FC Koln | 34 | 5 | 12 | 17 | 28 | 60 | -32 | 27 |
R | SV Darmstadt 98Darmstadt | 34 | 3 | 8 | 23 | 30 | 86 | -56 | 17 |
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